Ah, the Devil you don't know. Makes complete sense.
#5 | Posted by Zed at 2016-05-24 01:56 PM | Reply:
It does to anyone who understands odds even minimally.
Imagine you are given $100 in casino chips and you can keep whatever you have left after playing gambling for an hour.
You can choose one of two games. One is guaranteed that you lose every time. The result is as reliable as can be. You will definitely lose.
The other game offers awful odds. You have a 1% chance of winning.
You seem to be arguing that the guaranteed loss is the better bet than the longshot because the outcome is a known quantity.
We should play cards sometime.