Those death rates are about the lowest I've seen. What we are seeing out of S Korea is a death rate of about 1% but out of Italy the death rate is about 5%. And our response so far has been worse than Italy.
So if we figures even a conservative percentage like 2% death rate, and 30 million infected, that comes out to about 600,000 dead.
And, again, based upon our so far horrible national response, and the likely infected being much much higher that 30 million, I think he numbers are almost Trumpian.