Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Wednesday, June 19, 2019

What's Iran up to? The Tehran government has been pummeled by the Trump's economic sanctions, with greater impact than almost anyone expected. Oil exports, the country's main source of income, have plummeted by an estimated 80%. The IMF forecasts that Iran's economy will shrink 6% this year, with inflation over 30%. Those numbers spell an economy in crisis -- and a potential threat to the stability of the regime.

It's an asymmetrical struggle; in the global economy, the U.S. holds most of the cards. So the Iranians have struck back with the weapons at their command: a threat to stockpile low-enriched uranium and sabotage attacks against oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman. What the Iranians want is clear; they've been talking about it for months. They want Europe, Russia and China to help them revive their oil exports.

The tanker attacks caused damage but no injuries. The message, Iran-watchers say, was this: If you push the regime toward collapse, it will go down fighting.

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Trump and his aides believe economic sanctions will force Iran to make concessions; Khamenei and his lieutenants want the sanctions to go. Hard-liners on both sides will play a dangerous game of chicken to see who blinks first. The chances of a miscalculation remain high.

Both Trump and Khamenei have said they don't want war. If they want to prove their worth as statesmen, this would be a good time to do it.

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Excellent article in the LA Times on the geopolitics involved in the US/Iran/EU sanctions issues especially as to motivations on both sides.

#1 | Posted by Rightocenter at 2019-06-19 01:52 PM | Reply

"especially as to motivations on both sides"

Spoiler alert: There were good people on both sides!

#2 | Posted by snoofy at 2019-06-19 02:04 PM | Reply

If you push the regime toward collapse, it will go down fighting.

So childish of them.....

Mullahs don't have a clue about warfare theory.

#3 | Posted by J_Tremain at 2019-06-19 02:07 PM | Reply

That article required the reader to assume Iran was responsible for the attacks on those ships. Neither me nor many of our allies are willing to assume any such claim is true.

"If Tehran dismantled its nuclear program, international sanctions would come off."

They had, Trump arbitrarily pulled out of the agreement and reimposed sanctions with zero provocation. He should remove the sanctions and ask politely if we could rejoin our allies in the agreement. Don't worry Mr. Trump, we'll pretend you negotiated a new and better deal even though you can't. He just didn't want Obama to get the credit for the deal, President Obama told me he'll give up the credit if it brings a more peaceful solution to all of this. And please, Mr. Trump, use that big brain you claim to have and fire that lunatic John Bolton. He is a loose cannon.

#4 | Posted by danni at 2019-06-19 02:21 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

That article required the reader to assume Iran was responsible for the attacks on those ships. Neither me nor many of our allies are willing to assume any such claim is true.

The Brits, the Germans and now the Danes say that Iran likely was responsible, and today the USN presented evidence of magnets and fragments from one of the limpet mines that was recovered from the Kokuka Courageous that suggest that they are of Iranian manufacture.

The forensic investigators will figure it out, once they do will you accept their conclusion?

I will.

#5 | Posted by Rightocenter at 2019-06-19 03:03 PM | Reply

Gulf of Tonkin all over again in my opinion.

#6 | Posted by snoofy at 2019-06-19 03:09 PM | Reply

we should be friends with Iran. Iranians are nice people.
now the Saudi's... 🖕

#7 | Posted by ichiro at 2019-06-19 03:39 PM | Reply

The people aboard the Japanese ship say they were hit by flying objects, they were there, they should know. Some of our allies believed the Bush administration's reasons for invading Iraq, I didn't. It all turned out to be a lie designed to justify the invasion and I believe we are just repeating history now.

#8 | Posted by danni at 2019-06-19 07:07 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

#8 | Posted by danni at 2019-06-19 07:07 PM

Yes, and when the US military had their press conference and this was brought up, the reporters were told it was "irrelevant". The US has technology that could easily plant mines confiscated from Iran or their proxies using drones. And since these mines didn't sink these ships, as they are designed to, they are underwater mines for sinking ships. And that would be the only reason for Iran to attack shipping - to sink them. Further, placing mines BELOW the waterline would ensure that there would be no evidence left of the device. They are not stupid, regardless of what the US government tries to sell the public.

How convenient.
The US has engaged in terrorism against the people of Iran for more than 60 years.

I do not trust the US military, I do not trust our "civilian" leadership from any party, I do not trust our "spy" agencies. I do not trust law enforcement.

#9 | Posted by gitmboy at 2019-06-20 09:55 PM | Reply

POSTED BY GITMBOY

If that is the case, why would an Iranian boat pull up alongside one of the affected vessels to investigate and mess with the ship's hull shortly after the attack?

#10 | Posted by GOnoles92 at 2019-06-20 10:33 PM | Reply

#9 | Posted by gitmboy "How convenient.
The US has engaged in terrorism against the people of Iran for more than 60 years". Listen up pop-tart Islamist, we don't need to go covert to make our point. Don't need proxies, don't need fanatics like ISIS to kill the innocent. We can come and send a seriously weakened and fragile Iran back to the 7th century, a goal they are longing for. We can take away their electricity, and water treatment plants and refineries plus blockade them without putting a boot on the ground. I wonder how long the mullahs can hold on to power when they are shown to be completely impotent.

#11 | Posted by docnjo at 2019-06-21 11:34 AM | Reply

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