One may always say "maybe". As always, opinions do not dictate reality.
- Maybe is the correct terminology when we are not certain - and no - we don't reach certainty by having a consensus. We have have certainty when we have supporting models via the scientific method and even then - it is accepted but not in a religious way.
Claiming we are in a warming period after the last Ice Age is essentially tautological.
Tautological is the best description for Global Warming - which is now why it is climate change. Too cold? Climate Change! Too dry? Climate Change! Too wet? Climate Change!
The way the dogmatic believers have set up the system, there is no possible outcome which disproves global warming - which is why they simply brush off of 'seek to hide' inconvenient things like the medieval warming period or the high temperature throughout the 30's and subsequent cooling through to the mid 70's.
"If anything, according to analysis of glaciation cycles. we should be heading into a cooling period."
- With the sun going into a solar minimum, I would suspect we will have cooling and return to a +/- 0.5 degree anomaly within the next 2-3 years. With the current anomaly at +0.71, this is a moderate decline but make the decade warming trend at only about .1 degree with a slight cooling trend.
However, the opposite is happening:
- Actually, this is not correct - which is not surprising as you are getting your data from a proven dishonest site like skepticalscience. We have already entered a cooling phase. If we get the same drop from 2017-2018 in 2018 to 2019 (which seems likely at this point), the temperature anomaly will be in the +0.5 range already.
As for the 'warming of all the other planets': NOT happening. One would only have to examine the temperatures of Mercury and Venus.
- Again, skepticalscience is junk science. They make mistakes in solar irradiance because they are not measuring all bands. It is why they show output decreasing during solar storms - which is just factually wrong.
While it's prudent to not confuse reality with models, that does not mean models are useless.
- Models are great - when their projections match the observed reality. We don't have that yet for climate models. Of course, you would not know that if you are foolish enough to trust skepticalscience. They routinely take graphs from the IPCC - but then change the labels, etc to hide the fact that the models were completely wrong.
Look - I am willing to accept that the earth is warming. Personally, I think a lot of this has to due with albedo due to clean air regulations (which we all agree are a good thing). A return to heavy smog, although bad for our health, would absolutely lead to decrease rate in warming. Maybe that is the least costly approach. But, until we have reliable models, you are just pissing in the wind because not cost/benefit calculation can be performed.