Wednesday, December 19, 2018
Marc Thiessen's latest piece in WAPO asserts that if Mueller -- and the various prosecutors to whom he has handed off crimes investigations -- can prove that Donald Trump violated campaign laws and tax laws, etc., but cannot prove he personally conspired with Russia to steal the 2016 election, he not only won't lose his base, but he'll gain back the suburban voters Democrats gained in 2018 and are counting on to win in 2020.
I think Thiessen is right about Trump's base -- he could shoot one of them dead on Fifth Avenue and only lose the one vote. But the suburbs, I feel, are disgusted with Trump as a human being. Forget about what the talking heads on CNN and MSNBC say about him, and forget about the Mueller probe. If all I knew about Trump -- ALL I knew -- was what has come out of his mouth and what he has tweeted, I wouldn't want anything to do with him. I wouldn't do business with him, have a Diet Coke with him, or shake his hand. If he walked into the room, I'd have to leave for fear that someone would take a photo of him with me in the background. It disgusts me that a person like him is president of our country, and I think suburban Independents feel that way, as well as an increasing number of suburban Republicans. It's a character thing with me -- first and foremost. And that has nothing to do with Mueller.
That's not to say I think Trump won't be re-elected. He'll lose the votes of the people worse than the last time -- the American people will reject him again, for sure. But the Electoral College weighs the votes of Trump's rural base heavier than city or suburban voters. So he still has an excellent chance.
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