Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Sunday, July 09, 2017

"I don't have any doubt that North Korea has a compact fission device that fits on a ballistic missile. North Korea has conducted five nuclear tests -- - and if we look at the other nuclear powers, after five nuclear tests they were all capable of building compact nuclear weapons and/or well on their way to thermonuclear weapons. ... At this point, I think the North Koreans are fairly good at this, and why shouldn't they be? Nuclear-armed missiles are a 1950s-era technology." -- Jeffrey Lewis, director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program

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"We also need to look at how we can reduce tension with North Korea. I don't think the North Koreans are going to deliberately start a nuclear war, but I think they might use those weapons if they thought a war was coming and they needed to get a jump on the U.S. and South Korea. And, despite the poor track record of decapitation strikes, the idea really frightens the North Koreans. But instead of making them behave, I suspect it will lead them to do things that I really don't like, such as releasing nuclear weapons to lower level missile units." -- Lewis

For regular updates from Lewis on arms control-relate subjects, he's on Twitter as @armscontrolwonk.

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Now there is a real expert, 30,000 "TWITTER" followers, we should really really listen to him!!!! Cough! Cough! Hack!

All great minds and experts are now apparently rated by twitter....LOL!

#1 | Posted by Crassus at 2017-07-09 11:05 AM | Reply


@#1 ...All great minds and experts are now apparently rated by twitter....LOL! ..

I agree, I never saw the worth of the "popularity contest" twitter followers count. (wow, agreement twice in a single day)

I tended to give the Foreign Policy citation more weight than anything I saw about twitter. That aside...

The answers he gave to the questions shed some light on aspects of the North Korea situation that I had not before thought about.

#2 | Posted by LampLighter at 2017-07-09 11:13 AM | Reply

At the divisional level, NKs may have standing orders to use all local ordinance the instant they lose communications with their High Command.

#3 | Posted by Zed at 2017-07-09 01:13 PM | Reply

"All great minds and experts are now apparently rated by twitter....LOL!"

Must be why your boy Trump tweets so much.

#4 | Posted by snoofy at 2017-07-09 01:17 PM | Reply

#1

Don's first interview the morning after the election on network TV, what do you suppose he bragged about?

That he picked 100,000 new Twitter followers overnight.

Now, that's a leader.

#5 | Posted by TedBaxter at 2017-07-09 01:23 PM | Reply | Funny: 1 | Newsworthy 1

Lewis is the director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies in Monterey, California...

This guy has been getting a lot of interview time recently, I read some of his remarks on North Korea in a 'Foreign Policy' interview earlier this morning.

#6 | Posted by GOnoles92 at 2017-07-09 01:53 PM | Reply

BOO

Now, go change your undies.

#7 | Posted by morris at 2017-07-09 03:39 PM | Reply

Quick, everybody panic.

#8 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2017-07-09 05:01 PM | Reply

Now, go change your undies.

#7 | Posted by morris

If you are not concerned you are either not paying attention or Kim Jong Un can't reach your part of America yet.

When Kim Jong Un can reach all the way to New York, which will be within the year at the rate they are going (remember this is 1950s technology). I bet you will change your tune.

#9 | Posted by donnerboy at 2017-07-09 05:03 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

If you are concerned, you are not paying attention.

#10 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2017-07-09 06:49 PM | Reply

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Hey, what's a little Strontium-90 'among friends'.....

#11 | Posted by MSgt at 2017-07-09 06:55 PM | Reply

Must be why your boy Trump tweets so much.

#4 | POSTED BY SNOOFY AT 2017-07-09 01:17 PM | FLAG: He just tweets to mock all those 'talking heads' and keep them from taking time to see what is really happening behind the curtain - LOL

#12 | Posted by MSgt at 2017-07-09 06:57 PM | Reply

A little unclear, sarge. What's LOL abou it?

#13 | Posted by TedBaxter at 2017-07-09 07:04 PM | Reply

"poor track record of decapitation strikes" Yea thats what sadam thought also. Poor record hu.

#14 | Posted by tmaster at 2017-07-09 11:58 PM | Reply

I don't have any doubt that North Korea has a compact fission device that fits on a ballistic missile.

Ok. The dog has caught the car. Now what? There have been plenty of dogs that have caught the car (i.e. Pakistan, India, Israel, etc.). The only thing it appears to have guaranteed is that they won't be invaded by the US; not a bad deal from their perspective.

Once the North Koreans have satisfied themselves that they have achieved their nuclear objectives, they will have to decide on how to exploit the technology because becoming nuclear is not going to put food on the table or improve the standard of living for the average North Korean.

There is no need to threaten the North Koreans or to make nice:nice with them. Continue the sanctions and let the North Koreans bask in their accomplishment. Empty bellies and cold hearths have a way of focusing the attention of the average person; just ask the Venezuelans.

#15 | Posted by FedUpWithPols at 2017-07-10 06:36 AM | Reply

"poor track record of decapitation strikes" Yea thats what sadam thought also. Poor record hu.

#14 | POSTED BY TMASTER AT 2017-07-09 11:58 PM | REPLY

No strike ever got Saddam. He was eventually pulled out of a hole by boots on the ground occupation forces.

#16 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2017-07-10 08:37 AM | Reply


One side of me thinks that the biggest concern about North Korea is how Pres Trump reacts. Pres Trump has already stated he is willing to go against North Korea if China doesn't do anything.

www.telegraph.co.uk

..."China has great influence over North Korea. And China will either decide to help us with North Korea, or they won't," Mr Trump said in an interview with the Financial Times.

"If they do, that will be very good for China, and if they don't, it won't be good for anyone."

"If China is not going to solve North Korea, we will. That is all I am telling you," he added....


So, the question I have is: how does Pres Trump plan to "solve" North Korea?

www.reuters.com

...The United States cautioned on Wednesday it was ready to use force if need be to stop North Korea's nuclear missile program but said it preferred global diplomatic action against Pyongyang for defying world powers by test launching a ballistic missile that could hit Alaska.

U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley told a meeting of the U.N. Security Council that North Korea's actions were "quickly closing off the possibility of a diplomatic solution" and the United States was prepared to defend itself and its allies....


That certainly sounds as if the US will tolerate a North Korea only if NK has no nuclear capabilities.

Of course, that type of language may be the exact reason why NK is developing the nuclear capability in the first place.

#17 | Posted by LampLighter at 2017-07-10 10:10 AM | Reply

""If China is not going to solve North Korea, we will. That is all I am telling you," he added...."

He knows nothing about the reality of the situation but his mouth doesn't understand that, it keeps talking without any connection to any thought.

#18 | Posted by danni at 2017-07-10 10:27 AM | Reply

Remember, this a guy who considers unpredictability to be his best trait.

#19 | Posted by TedBaxter at 2017-07-10 10:46 AM | Reply

The PDRK doesn't need ballistic missiles. They could put a device into a container and have it delivered to America. They may have as many as ten warheads, or as few as five. But what should worry every one, and does right now for those who keep track of them, is they have the largest stockpile of chemical weapons in the world right now.

#20 | Posted by docnjo at 2017-07-10 02:53 PM | Reply

You're not the only person to say that, and it's kind of a stupid line. A 5,000 m/s terminal speed ICBM is a survivable revenge weapon that can just hide in a forest and be fired in seconds. A 16 knot freighter is not a survivable delivery vehicle.

#21 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2017-07-10 02:58 PM | Reply

#21 | Posted by sitzkrieg That depends on the confidence level the North has in it's weapon systems. Right now the have many more failures than successes. Their ballistic missile program is a peep show. What would be good to do is the use that phenomenally expensive missile defense system and shoot down their next test or two. They are supposed to be in the guided missile cruisers and destroyers there now, or at least compatible.

#22 | Posted by docnjo at 2017-07-10 03:12 PM | Reply

Their newest systems have more failures than success, but that's pretty much every weapon system ever during development.

We're not going to shoot down tests, because if we miss it's much worse than not doing anything.

#23 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2017-07-10 03:34 PM | Reply

There's also the matter of "when", if we tried to shoot it down. This had an apogee higher than the max range of an SM-3 block 2 interceptor, was fired from their West Coast, and had considerable altitude when it crossed into international waters. Shooting it on the way up wouldn't be an option. Once it started coming back down we could shoot at it, but the SPY-1 radars would know it's just landing in the water anyways so shooting it would be pointless unless it's an actual threat to the ship.

#24 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2017-07-10 04:06 PM | Reply

I think much of the World is rightly just as concerned that Trump has nuclear weapons. And they should be.

#25 | Posted by Whatsleft at 2017-07-10 06:45 PM | Reply

I don't know about that.

That haircut is pretty damn funny.

twitter.com

#26 | Posted by donnerboy at 2017-07-10 09:17 PM | Reply

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