Monday, December 18, 2017

Study: Racial Resentment Elected Trump

Contrary to what some have suggested, white millennial Trump voters were not in more economically precarious situations than non-Trump voters. Fully 86 percent of them reported being employed, a rate similar to non-Trump voters; and they were 14 percent less likely to be low income than white voters who did not support Trump. Employment and income were not significantly related to that sense of white vulnerability. So what was? Racial resentment. Even when controlling for partisanship, ideology, region and a host of other factors, white millennials fit Michael Tesler's analysis, explored here. As he put it, economic anxiety isn't driving racial resentment; rather, racial resentment is driving economic anxiety.

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We found, as he has in a larger population, that racial resentment is the biggest predictor of white vulnerability among white millennials. Economic variables like education, income and employment made a negligible difference.

Comments

Another pathetic clickbait thread, brought to you by capitalists disingenuously promoting the same nonsense that got Trump elected in the first place.

#1 | Posted by sentinel at 2017-12-17 08:17 AM

How do these "demographic academics" go from statistical analysis to reading the hearts and minds of voters? Lmao.

#2 | Posted by GOnoles92 at 2017-12-17 09:13 AM

Same way economists quantify "consumer confidence" LOL.

#3 | Posted by snoofy at 2017-12-17 12:44 PM

"racial resentment is the biggest predictor of white vulnerability among white millennials"

Oh, now I see why Trump wants to ban the word "vulnerable."

#4 | Posted by snoofy at 2017-12-17 01:10 PM

Oh, now I see why Trump wants to ban the word "vulnerable."

Trump is the ultimate performance artist troll. That said, it's a sad fact that once ordinary words like privilege, fragility and now vulnerability have been turned into partisan racial and ethnic slurs by people who claim to support social justice.

#5 | Posted by sentinel at 2017-12-17 03:10 PM

I see someone meant to mark my post as newsworthy, but hit the wrong button by mistake. It's okay, we were all new here once. You'll get the hang of it eventually.

#6 | Posted by sentinel at 2017-12-18 09:19 AM

Sentinel are you in favor of the ban, then?

Gonna start calling you Sentinel Snowflake if the answer is yes.

#7 | Posted by snoofy at 2017-12-18 01:26 PM

"economic anxiety isn't driving racial resentment; rather, racial resentment is driving economic anxiety."

What?

Yet another analysis showing same thing as has been presented and denied here since the election?

Racism isn't pretty and it isn't fun to talk about, but it also isn't going to improve by denying it's obvious reality and it's effect on political contests and then on policy accomplishments.

Trump voters were actually fine with a substantive social safety net... as long as it didn't help the minorities that they see as competitors rather than as fellow citizens.

Good eye, Doc.

#8 | Posted by Corky at 2017-12-18 01:39 PM

Notice the alt-right racists in this thread hate it. Kind of prove it to be true.

#9 | Posted by aborted_monson at 2017-12-18 04:57 PM

Trump was barely elected. Therefore MANY factors could be considered the deciding factor.

Racial resentment was the factor.

Hillary being terrible was the factor.

The electoral college was the factor.

James Comey was the factor.

Fox news propaganda was the factor.

Democrats running on the corporate status quo was the factor.

All of them are true. Remove any one of them and he wouldn't be president right now.

#10 | Posted by SpeakSoftly at 2017-12-18 04:59 PM

While I agree with the article, I also think (and have been saying) that it is not just race. There are A LOT of things that have changed very quickly in our society. Not just the BLM movement (which I think the most significant takeaway from that is not the movement itself, but the fact that the movement grew because Black people think that people are actually LISTENING to them when they denounce discrimination), but also gay rights, women's rights, transgender rights, and other minorities. And now we have the #MeToo movement and adjustments to the traditional power structure that males have traditionally enjoyed.

The problem is change... and change leads to fear. Call it white vulnerability or whatever else you want. That is why "Make America Great Again" resonated with those types of voters. Because it hearkened back to before all of these changes occurred. Hopefully the disaster that Trump is turning out to be will end up scaring those sentiments back into the shadows again when they finally accept that he is actually the lying degenerate that everyone said he was.

Though, this #MeToo movement does make me a little nervous. Not that I would have prevented it if I had the option. But, that is a SIGNIFICANT change in social and power structures in our society. And it is just beginning. There will be a backlash... we might even get a fancy name from the demographers like "male vulnerability". My only hope is that with Trump being such a disaster, any electoral backlash will get caught up in the electorate's general disgust with the Republican party so will not have an impact.

#11 | Posted by gtbritishskull at 2017-12-18 05:09 PM

Speak... you conveniently leave out the fact that the Republican party nominated him, and then as a whole stood behind him. Say what you want about Democrats and Hillary. I get it... you don't like them. BUT, that does not condone Republicans abdicating their responsibility to nominate a person for president who is actually qualified to do the job.

In a polarized dual political party system like ours, it is always somewhat of a toss-up which party wins. Mainly because a lot of people vote party line due to economic and political issues outside of the actual people running. So, that is America's excuse for electing Trump over Hillary.

What excuse does the Republican party have for nominating him? What were the "factors" that got a majority of Republicans to vote for him as the ideological leader of their party???

#12 | Posted by gtbritishskull at 2017-12-18 05:20 PM

What excuse does the Republican party have for nominating him? What were the "factors" that got a majority of Republicans to vote for him as the ideological leader of their party???

#12 | Posted by gtbritishskull

It's not the party's fault. They had to nominate who got the most votes. It's their base's fault. And their base nominated him because their minds have been warped by 20 years of fox news.

So really it's fox news' fault.

#13 | Posted by SpeakSoftly at 2017-12-18 05:28 PM

"We found, as he has in a larger population, that racial resentment is the biggest predictor of white vulnerability among white millennials. Economic variables like education, income and employment made a negligible difference."

Lots of factors, one predominate factor.

#14 | Posted by Corky at 2017-12-18 05:39 PM

Lots of factors, one predominate factor.

#14 | Posted by Corky

Whatever you say corky. Just don't nominate another corporate puppet in 2020 (OF ANY RACE) or we'll all lose again.

#15 | Posted by SpeakSoftly at 2017-12-18 06:15 PM

"economic anxiety isn't driving racial resentment; rather, racial resentment is driving economic anxiety."
What?
Yet another analysis showing same thing as has been presented and denied here since the election?
#8 | POSTED BY CORKY

In reality it should be "unfounded racial resentment is driven by economic anxiety." All the article does is confirm that people think their problems are racial when they are in fact economic. Or do you just blindly trust the self-reporting abilities of trump voters, Corky?

#16 | Posted by IndianaJones at 2017-12-18 06:26 PM

- All the article does is confirm that people think their problems are racial when they are in fact economic.

That's pretty funny. Read much?

Race is problematic to talk about, especially in politics (see above post, lol)

Fortunately that won't be so worrisome since the GOP's tax bill...

www.drudge.com

#17 | Posted by Corky at 2017-12-18 07:32 PM

"Sentinel are you in favor of the ban, then?"

No, it's absurd and silly, at best, and it was primarily done to push people's buttons. But it's really no different than when left wing politicians say people either can't use or have to use certain words for the sake of political correctness.

#18 | Posted by sentinel at 2017-12-18 09:31 PM

"So really it's fox news' fault."

I'd go even further than that and say it's all of the corporate media's fault. Even the liberal leaning networks saw what a huge boon Trump would be for ratings, and they just couldn't help themselves (although the talking heads in front of the camera were not in the loop). It's also no coincidence that presidential primaries have been portrayed more and more like an American Idol contest the past few cycles.

#19 | Posted by sentinel at 2017-12-18 09:40 PM

Anybody who is black (well, maybe except BOAZ) is well aware of white resentment. Just like we've always been aware of both de jure and de facto segregation, voter suppression, police brutality, housing and employment discrimination, etc., etc., etc. White people, even the well-meaning ones, have always dismissed or minimized this reality. But they believe that any improvement in the status of blacks, by necessity, comes at the expense of whites. This is the root of their resentment.

The #MeToo movement shows the same thing is true with the perspective of women vis a vis men regarding harassment and assault. Their complaints have always been dismissed or minimized, as well. Those who have the privileged position that white (heterosexual, Protestant) males have always had no necessity to empathize with others. Those who are subject to their power must understand them out of self-preservation. It has historically been necessary for survival.

#20 | Posted by WhoDaMan at 2017-12-18 10:32 PM

"Anybody who is black (well, maybe except BOAZ) is well aware of white resentment."

It's always easier to blame someone else for your problems.

The problem that is not yet evident to Trump voters is that blaming people for your problems is not enough to make your problems go away.

Voting for Trump was voting to blame Democrats and Liberals for your problems; some here even apply this blame directly to the party for how the candidate was nominated.

I don't think I've ever once heard them blame the Republicans for giving us Trump.

That would be too much like blaming themselves for their problems.

#21 | Posted by snoofy at 2017-12-19 12:21 AM

Obama gets elected because of "racial resentment" and it becomes a hush issue that, if brought up, indicates the source is racist. There is no debating that occurred for 8 years. So, now, it's only fair to say that this article is racist and only serves to empower racists. Nobody who was sick of hearing it during the Obama years has any shred of credibility to argue this point (I'm looking at pretty much every Liberal on this site).

WHODAMAN, you automatically assume that a white person who has done well in their life has not had to live through the same level of bs that everyone else has to. Regardless that you seem to think white people get a red carpet rolled out wherever they go, white people go through the same ------- bosses other people have. Hell, I just got fired earlier this year for bringing up an ethical issue at work (which, being in risk, is part of my job). White people get harassed and bullied by cops. White people have to bend over and take crap from people in positions of authority just like everyone else. Life isn't easy and sometimes we don't know where our next paycheck is going to come from. But, by all means, keep segregating people by groups and making assumptions as to what each group believes. You are only propagating bigotry.

"Their complaints have always been dismissed or minimized, as well."

If you've actually been keeping up on the current climate, you could EASILY deduce that their complaints aren't heard because THEY DON'T TELL ANYONE! Or they don't tell anyone who is in the position to do anything about it. Only a very small percentage of all of the allegations today are done from women who voiced their complaints. Had all of the women who have come out in the last 6-7 years voiced their complaints publicly when it occurred, the issue wouldn't have blown up into the spectacle it is today (and, some of that harassment wouldn't have occurred because the accused wouldn't have been around to do it). So, while there are times and some environments where someone's complaints are dismissed or minimized, to lump them all together is foolish.

#22 | Posted by humtake at 2017-12-19 11:59 AM

But, by all means, keep segregating people by groups and making assumptions as to what each group believes. You are only propagating bigotry.

#22 | POSTED BY HUMTAKE

good rant. I don't agree with all of it, but my favorite lie these days is that only white people can be racists.

Do I believe racial resentment 'elected' trump? Not completely, but it did help. Not everyone who voted for Trump was a racist, but all white racists did vote for him. Black racists stayed at home.

If you look at true racism as it should be looked at, as a sub-set of hatred, you find that constructive and destructive hatred elected trump. Part of that hatred was racism, but not all of it. Part of it was based on people trying, incompetently, to understand how we became so corrupt and inequitable. Of course, a truism of American voters is that anyone who thinks a corrupt person can stop corruption is the cause and part of the corruption. Then we find that that hatred is only a sub-set of ignorance.

This puts us right back where we already were, Trump was elected by ignorance. One of ignorance's sub-sets is hatred and one of hatred's sub-sets is racism.

#23 | Posted by kudzu at 2017-12-20 09:09 AM

But, by all means, keep segregating people by groups and making assumptions as to what each group believes. You are only propagating bigotry.
#22 | POSTED BY HUMTAKE

They didn't make assumptions. They ran studies and surveys... They literally did the opposite of make assumptions.

#24 | Posted by Sycophant at 2017-12-20 11:13 AM

"But, by all means, keep segregating people by groups and making assumptions as to what each group believes. You are only propagating bigotry. "

Tell Roy Moore stupid. Like it or not identity politics is how the Republicans won the Presidency and how the Democrats just won another Senate seat in Alabama.

#25 | Posted by danni at 2017-12-20 11:27 AM

"Had all of the women who have come out in the last 6-7 years voiced their complaints publicly when it occurred, the issue wouldn't have blown up into the spectacle it is today (and, some of that harassment wouldn't have occurred because the accused wouldn't have been around to do it)."

"Nelson said she either fell out of the car, or was pushed. Before he drove away, Nelson said, Moore warned her to keep quiet about what had happened, employing a common tactic of sexual predators: "He told me, he said, ‘You're just a child,' and he said, ‘I am the District Attorney of Etowah County. And if you tell anyone about this, no one will ever believe you.'"

And Humtake proves her statement is true. He still pretends not to believe her nor accept the predicatment she was in as a teenager facing a powerful man like a District Attorney. When you look at most of these cases there is a huge element of power which the perves exercise over virtually helpless and powerless women.

#26 | Posted by danni at 2017-12-20 11:34 AM

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