Statistician Nate Silver on Monday said Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump would be favored to win if the general election occurred today.
If the election were today, Trump would likely win. But Clinton's still favored long-term: t.co pic.twitter.com/HUTQMaVrBx
-- FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) July 25, 2016
Trump now leads presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, 57.5 percent to 42.5 percent, in that scenario, according to Silver's website, FiveThirtyEight.