Arizonans have been voting since about October 1. That's when the absentee and early voting ballots get mailed out. Arizona also has lots and lots of old folks who prefer to vote at home. So I would expect the early voting to reflect the earlier polling numbers.
I voted two weeks ago and I can say with a fair degree of certainty, Obama got at least one vote in Arizona.
Arizona also has an enormous Mormon population. So between Mormons, your normal stack of evangelical fundies, rednecks, a large number of military personnel (not so telling this time around, but in the past largely conservative), investors living in heat (again normally republican, but who knows these days) and the elderly I think it is safe to say that Arizona will go McCain.
There's a reason why: smart voters know that a president from your state will advance your state's interests. The fact that it's even close says a lot about how well McCain has represented his state's interests, but let's face it what other president will give Arizona a better deal? John will win Arizona, no matter how embarrassing the margin may be.
JustinPhx
It is one thing to police yourself on the course but quite another when you do and have to tell the world how cool you are through numerous press releases. I am sure Titleist will be announcing their new "prototype" ball soon.