"Nate Silver may think otherwise, but I see no cakewalk here."
Hillary's got a bigger lead over Trump at this point of the election than Obama had over McCain and Romney as of June 30th, 2008 and June 30th, 2012 respectively. She's pasting Don The Con in the battleground states with her ad campaigns there, and he's not lifting a finger to counter them. By the time the conventions are over, Florida will no longer be a battleground because she'll have walked away with the Sunshine State by then.
It's curtains for the GOP nominee this year, but I don't want it to be over just yet because Trump can still inflict downballot damage to his party that'll put second and third tier Senate seats into play for the Democrats.
Keep an eye on GOP senators who don't show up at the convention in Cleveland. Their silence will be deafening.