Goat. The voting public of a region or state has never been duped? No one from the outside of that region or state has ever been able to recognize a duped populace? If someone from outside Germany were to say "Yo, I can clearly see the Nazi party is effing crazy." They would be arrogant for saying so? Yes, I realize "Yo, I can clearly see the Nazi party is effing crazy." is an arrogant thing to say but you get my drift.
Are you saying that political analysis from outside is never as accurate as from inside?
Are you saying, that it would be arrogant to make comments about a a state or region and the politics there if you don't currently dwell there, born there or at any time lived there?
Are you saying its arrogant of fox and cnn to put domestic policy pendents that speak with a british accent? Well... I might agree to that : )
Like I said, I could list countless other examples to help explain why I feel your comment makes no sense but I think/hope you get where im going with this.