Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Wednesday, October 19, 2016

A new poll from the University of Houston may have Texas Republicans more nervous heading into a presidential election than they have in decades. According to the University of Houston poll, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has support from 41 percent of the state's likely voters to Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton's 38 percent support in the state. Given the poll's margin of error of +/- 3 percent, the presidential race in Texas is a statistical tie.

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The way I figure it, Donald loses 1% here in Texas for every woman who comes forward with an account of sexual harassment. Four more and Texas turns blue.

#1 | Posted by Zed at 2016-10-19 01:58 PM | Reply


Not a good trend for Mr Trump in texas.

Back in September he was up by 6 or 7 percent. (appx 3.5% MoE)

So the question becomes, will the velocity of the trend be fast enough that Mr Trump will fall behind in Texas before Election Day arrives?

Or will Election Day get here before Mr Trump falls behind.

 

With the current trends, it's looking like a PhotoPhinish®.

#2 | Posted by LampLighter at 2016-10-19 02:04 PM | Reply

There are three polls out that have Clinton within five points of Trump in Texas. A good downward trend in GOP turnout and the state goes Blue.

#3 | Posted by Sycophant at 2016-10-19 02:27 PM | Reply

Something not often seen here, Democratic presidential candidate television ads.

www.texastribune.org

www.texastribune.org

#4 | Posted by et_al at 2016-10-19 02:27 PM | Reply

Molly Ivins and Ann Richards must be whoopin' it up in Glory....

"My favorite Ann Richards story is one that Molly Ivins told years ago, and which appears in Ivins' book Molly Ivins Can't Say That, Can She? I found a transcription of it here:

Several years ago there was a big political do at Scholz Beer Garten in Austin and everybody who was anybody in political Texas was there, meetin' and greetin' at a furious pace. About halfway through the evening, a little group of us got the tired feet and went to lean our butts against a table by the back wall of the Garten.

Like birds in a row were perched Bob Bullock, the state comptroller; me; Charlie Miles, a black man who was then head of Bullock's personnel department (and the reason Bullock had such a good record on minority hiring); and Ms. Ann Richards.

Bullock, having been in Texas politics for thirty some-odd years, consequently knew every living sorry, no-account sumbitch who ever held office. A dreadful old racist judge from East Texas came up to him, "Bob, my boy, how are yew?" The two of them commenced to clap one another on the back and have a big greetin'.

"Judge," said Bullock. "I want you to meet my friends. This is Molly Ivins with the Texas Observer."

The judge peered up at me and said, "How yew, little lady?"

"This is Charles Miles, who heads my personnel department." Charlie stuck out his hand and the judge got an expression on his face as though he had just stepped into a fresh cowpie. It took him a long minute before he reached out, barely touched Charlie's hand and said, "How you, boy?" Then he turned with great relief to pretty, blue-eyed Ann Richards and said, "And who is this lovely lady?"

Ann beamed and said, "I am Mrs. Miles."

www.offthekuff.com

#5 | Posted by Corky at 2016-10-19 02:35 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

Only counties that are blue straddle the border and encompass Austin, Dallas, and Houston. If Dems ever want to take Texas they need to get rid of the anti-gun anti-church rhetoric anti-family rhetoric.

#6 | Posted by aescal at 2016-10-19 03:04 PM | Reply


@#6 ... If Dems ever want to take Texas they need to ...

If Dems ever want to take Texas all they need to do is get a majority of the votes.

#7 | Posted by LampLighter at 2016-10-19 03:07 PM | Reply

I wish these polls were accurate but I'm afraid Texans aren't that smart. FiveThirtyEight still has The Donald carrying Texas.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

#8 | Posted by SomebodyElse at 2016-10-19 03:56 PM | Reply

"get rid of the anti-gun anti-church rhetoric anti-family rhetoric."

Hillary's likely shot more guns than Trump, is more of a practicing Christian than him, and she's clearly a better parent and spouse than him.

#9 | Posted by Tor at 2016-10-19 04:21 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

Good thing Texas has disenfranchised so many Democratic leaning voters or it would be a total landslide.

#10 | Posted by donnerboy at 2016-10-19 04:24 PM | Reply

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Gun lovers prefer "fired more weapons" over "shot more guns."
If you're really lucky, someone will point out that a "gun" is a piece of artillery.
But here I am, stealing their thunder. That's not very nice of me.

#11 | Posted by snoofy at 2016-10-19 04:28 PM | Reply

get your popcorn. sumpin tells me Trump has HELLA more support than what the lame stream media is telling us.

#12 | Posted by AuntieSocial at 2016-10-19 05:08 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

Only counties that are blue straddle the border and encompass Austin, Dallas, and Houston.

Where all the largest cities are and over half the population resides. Dallas County (Dallas), Travis County (Austin), Bexar County (San Antonio), Harris County (Houston), and El Paso County (El Paso). And the Rio Grande Valley is at 1.3M, and climbing.

fivethirtyeight.com

#13 | Posted by madscientist at 2016-10-19 05:25 PM | Reply

If Dems ever want to take Texas they need to get rid of the anti-gun anti-church rhetoric anti-family rhetoric.

#6 | POSTED BY AESCAL

But it looks like Texas is becoming less relevant but will be more expensive for GOPpers to hang on to. Think McCain and Romney. They owned Texas but still got their a$$es handed to them. And the minority vote will soon be the majority vote deep in the heart of...

#14 | Posted by northguy3 at 2016-10-19 05:25 PM | Reply

If Dems ever want to take Texas they need to get rid of the anti-gun anti-church rhetoric anti-family rhetoric.

¡Claro que sí, amigo!

#15 | Posted by snoofy at 2016-10-19 05:41 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

I live in texas and there isn't that much support for Hillary. Trust me, it will be a landslide for trump here.

#16 | Posted by wakeupworld at 2016-10-20 09:43 AM | Reply

"I live in texas and there isn't that much support for Hillary. Trust me, it will be a landslide for trump here."

LOL...these numbers from this university are ridiculous. I think the Hillabeast's chances in Texas are about the same as Trump's in California. We get to see an occasional political add here in TN and we like that. Neither party spends much here because the outcome is pretty solid. Remember, TN threw Algore under the bus a long time ago which cost him the election. Everyone wants to blame FL, but the credit belongs to us.

#17 | Posted by jestgettinalong at 2016-10-21 02:58 PM | Reply

"Gun lovers prefer "fired more weapons" over "shot more guns."

I believe most Hillabeast supporters think the terms "muzzle" and "butt" refer to their mouths and rectums and not to rifles. It's not surprising that Tor used the words he did. He obviously doesn't know the difference between a rifle and a gun either. He also has a little difficulty with grammar judging by his use of the word "him" instead of "he." Typical "progressive" dimocrat.

#18 | Posted by jestgettinalong at 2016-10-21 03:15 PM | Reply

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