Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Tuesday, September 20, 2016

In a memo sent to supporters Tuesday morning, Hillary Clinton's campaign manager had a one-word message: Chill.

Here's the story that no poll can tell: Hillary Clinton has many paths to 270 electoral votes, while Donald Trump has very few.

"Hillary is nearly certain to win 16 "blue" states, including Washington D.C., which will garner her 191 electoral votes.

If we add the five states that FiveThirtyEight.com gives Hillary a 70% or greater chance of winning (Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin), Hillary only needs ten more electoral" votes.

As I've written of late, the electoral map is heavily tilted to Democrats at this point. (It's the reverse of the 1980s when Republicans started in the race to 270 electoral votes with a 75-yard lead.)

There are lots and lots of other combinations that get Clinton over 270 electoral votes. And another handful that get her over 300

Advertisement

Advertisement

Liberal Blog Advertising Network

More

Alternate links: Google News | Twitter

That's a stark contrast to the paucity of paths to 270 for Trump. To have any chance at winning, Trump absolutely must hold the 206 electoral votes Mitt Romney won in 2012.

That's no small task given that Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina were Romney states four years ago and are now all close.

Let's assume Trump wins those states and the rest Romney won, too. He could also win Florida, Ohio and Virginia and still lose to Clinton. (That would be 266 electoral votes for Trump.)

He could win Florida, Ohio, Colorado and Iowa and still lose. You get the idea; this is going to be a massive climb for Trump.

Comments

Admin's note: Participants in this discussion must follow the site's moderation policy. Profanity will be filtered. Abusive conduct is not allowed.

Election Update: Democrats Should Panic … If The Polls Still Look Like This In A Week

fivethirtyeight.com

#1 | Posted by SheepleSchism at 2016-09-20 04:02 PM | Reply

In the mean time Hillary's fallen and she can't get up.

#2 | Posted by mysterytoy at 2016-09-20 04:14 PM | Reply | Funny: 1

"Election Update: Democrats Should Panic"

all this and we haven't even had the first debate.

remembering Mitt Romney won Round 1, "decisively". this presidential debate marked the beginning of the end for President Obama.

#3 | Posted by ChiefTutMoses at 2016-09-20 04:16 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

#1

So four days ago. And guess what, they aren't holding...

thehill.com

As much as some sheep want Trump to win.

#4 | Posted by Corky at 2016-09-20 04:47 PM | Reply

remembering Mitt Romney won Round 1, "decisively". this presidential debate marked the beginning of the end for President Obama.
#3 | POSTED BY CHIEFTUTMOSES

If Crowley didn't inject her opinion into the the second debate, Obama would have been seen as the liar he is, and the nation would be much better off today.

I don't worry about polls, only trends and Trump is trending up, and Clinton is LilMissWildEyes.

Trumpalanch 2016!!!!

#5 | Posted by AndreaMackris at 2016-09-20 04:55 PM | Reply

Hillary has more paths, but until 538 is saying she's got a 90% chance to win based on current polls I'm going to sweat. She was down to 60% recently.

#6 | Posted by rcade at 2016-09-20 05:21 PM | Reply

#4 | POSTED BY CORKY

From your link:

"Clinton had seen a drop in national polls this week. She now has a 1.3 percent lead over Trump in an average of national polls, after leading by as many as 6 points in polling averages last month."

Sounds like she's down 4.7 pts. since last month. winning! LOL.

#7 | Posted by SheepleSchism at 2016-09-20 05:33 PM | Reply

When you're rooting for Trump more than an actual Trump voter, you might as well vote for Trump. Jump in the basket!

#8 | Posted by rcade at 2016-09-20 05:34 PM | Reply

Deplorable sheep!

Ben Franklin was right...

pbs.twimg.com

#9 | Posted by Corky at 2016-09-20 05:50 PM | Reply

Poll: Clinton regains 5-point lead nationally

Is the headline of the article I posted in #4. Only a Trump Pet would ignore that.

#10 | Posted by Corky at 2016-09-20 05:53 PM | Reply

Hillary canceled another fundraiser today after her eyes can't seem to focus in Philadelphia.

Wikileaks says she has Parkinson and other degenerative disorders.

Will Hillary step-aside for the good of the country,

or does she owe too many people too much and put our country at risk?

#11 | Posted by Prolix247 at 2016-09-20 08:58 PM | Reply

Comments are closed for this entry.

Home | Breaking News | Comments | User Blogs | Stats | Back Page | RSS Feed | RSS Spec | DMCA Compliance | Privacy | Copyright 2016 World Readable

Drudge Retort