Drudge Retort: Red Meat for Yellow Dogs

Specifically:

"Let us sum up: traders are borrowing at negative 20 per cent rates to invest on a highly leveraged basis on a mass of risky global assets that are rising in price due to excess liquidity and a massive carry trade. Every investor who plays this risky game looks like a genius even if they are just riding a huge bubble financed by a large negative cost of borrowing as the total returns have been in the 50-70 per cent range since March."

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nanc

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I've had a good year in our accounts--being short the market through the end of March helped out a lot. But I think the run is about over, and we'll be heading down again soon.

Irony is, it's not really Obama's fault. The economy is deleveraging, which is a good thing. Debts are being wiped away, and money is being destroyed. Asset prices are falling everywhere but in the stock market, and there only temporarily, I'm afraid.

Going to be hard to book trading profits on US companies going forward. Another irony is that the goldbugs, who will have been right about almost everything, will be wiped out too.

Does that mean Ray is about to lose everything? Hehehehehehehehe

If you think we're headed for an inflationary collapse of the dollar, no, gold will be heading a lot higher. But so will ag stocks, other commodities, and every other stock market ex- the dollar.

But inflationary depressions are rare in the West. In free economies, depressions are deflationary. Which would mean gold would head down. WAY down.

RIR - I know a few people who have been buying Iraqi dinars for the past couple of years and they're doing well - of course, who wants dollars?

The commercial w/G. Gordon Liddy talking about how gold has never gone down irks me.

For someone who bought gold at $500-600 an ounce and it dives back down closer to $100 - they'll become suicidal - what people have sometimes defines them.

how gold has never gone down irks me.

Anyone making a claim like that should be sued.

66.38.218.33

It's not going to be pretty:

www.bloomberg.com

Why don't tortie economists want to discuss this? It IS serious business...or it used to be.

Most of them are still waiting for talking points to be issued from Air America.

"Most of them are still waiting for talking points to be issued from Air America."

I've said lots of times that the stock market is just another bubble and eventually bubbles burst.
Right now where else are you going to invest money for any sort of return? When taxes are low bubbles are created. We didn't have a bubble economy until Ronnie Raygun lowered the income tax rates on the very rich, it's been bubble after bubble since. I just hope the bubble lasts for about 10 more months so I can take out all of my 401K money. I don't know what I will do with it when I do though, maybe put it under the mattress.

Counting public and private debt, the US is carrying $60 Trillion. For sake of argument, if interest rates were to be raised to one percent, that would add a burden of $600 billion to the US $12 Trillion economy. Point being, the Federal Reserve cannot allow interest rates to rise. They are so desperate to keep interest rates low that the Fed is monetizing almost half of Treasury bonds because foreign creditors are buying fewer and shorter term bonds. It should be obvious to anyone who will see that Washington has lost control of its spending. Foreigners see it. Most Americans don't.

This is why the carry trade is confident that they can borrow dollars for almost nothing and buy bonds in other countries at higher interest rates. The net effect is to drive the dollar down. A lower dollar would boost exports, but at the cost of higher imports, meaning higher prices here at home.

The bankruptcy of the US government and the end of dollar hegemony was never more certain. What is uncertain is how and when we get there.

Does that mean Ray is about to lose everything? Hehehehehehehehe
#2 | Posted by jackass

No. It means Jackass will lose everything.

No. It means Jackass will lose everything.

He already has -- including his mind.

Why don't tortie economists want to discuss this? -- #8 | Posted by nanc

You asked "Know-It-All Tortie Economists." Ray and RisR checked in, didn't they?

;-)

People are betting against the dollar. Borrowing dollars to to invest, thinking the dollar will tank. This could be good for the economy in the long run. If the bubble burst, the value of the dollar will rise. On the other hand.....

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