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U.S. commercial banks earned $5.2 billion trading derivatives in the second quarter of 2009, a 225 percent increase from the same period last year, according to the Treasury Department. More than 1,100 banks now trade in derivatives, a 14 percent increase from last year.

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BillJohnson

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Come on BJ, didn't you hear President Obama asking the industry to regulate themselves just two weeks ago?

You remember, he said, "you don't have to wait for ..." a law to be enacted to do the right thing....

Too bad laws are already on the books that say that they must wait for a law to be enacted to do the right thing.

I'm sure Obama and the Dems are working on it as we speak.

Why shouldn't they be? With Shumer, Dodd, Frank, and Obama both on their payroll, and promising that they're "too big to fail", the roulette tables are open.

1929, 2007...2009?

More than these three instances, of course. But unbelievable how quickly people forget all the same.

"History repeats itself. The first time as tragedy. The second as farce."

Too big too fail, too big too fail!

Fuck you, give me your money or we'll fuck the system!


Four banks control the market: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citibank account for 94 percent of the total derivatives reported to be held by U.S. commercial banks

Gee, the usual suspects. So much for "change."

U.S. commercial banks earned $5.2 billion trading derivatives

Can someone explain how banks earn money trading? Where do the earnings come from? I thought they mostly traded these things with each other. Is this $5.2 billion taken from our 401(k)'s or what?

Or is it simply a reflection that the stock market rose in Q2 2009?

JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citibank....


That's most of the FED.

What's most disturbing is this line from OCC's spokesperson:

"It's tough to think of the world without derivatives," Mukri says. "And it's not a pleasant world either."

HUH??? This, from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency?

It's true that some have been around a while, but check out the graph in this wiki article: en.wikipedia.org(finance) . It shows what everyone who follows these markets knows: the derivatives market increased TENFOLD over the last ten years, from a little over $50 trillion to over $500 trillion.

Seems to be we were doing a lot better 10 years ago when it was a lot smaller.

Can someone explain how banks earn money trading? Where do the earnings come from? I thought they mostly traded these things with each other. Is this $5.2 billion taken from our 401(k)'s or what? -- #7 | Posted by snoofy

Derivatives are just bets, so yeah, if U.S. banks earned money, either someone else (foreign banks, 401k's), taxpayers funding the bailout) lost, or it's accounting magic.

Or is it simply a reflection that the stock market rose in Q2 2009? -- #7 | Posted by snoofy

They don't involve any exchange of real assets at the time of the contract, so no. They do include things like futures contracts, though -- Joe agrees to buy 100 shares of IBM from Bob at $125/share a month from now. Under mark-to-market accounting rules, Joe comes out ahead if the prices rises above $125/share (but Bob loses); if the stock price is below $125 in a month, Bob wins (but Joe loses).

Older derivatives were mostly just about this simple. Derivatives these days are much more complicated, and so harder to value. This creates a bigger market for them, since the contracts don't make sense unless the buyer and seller have different predictions about the outcome of the bet -- both are essentially betting that they're the smartest guy in the room. (Technical terminology includes "asymmetric information" -- each is basing his prediction on different info/model, and gambles that he's got the better one. Less technical terminology includes "swinging dicks.")

now they can pay back the 700 billion plus Chinese interest.

G-Sax CEO, "OK lets get some AAA securities sold. But first, since we know they're junk, lets buy 10 times the Securities net value in SWAPS. We win when we sell the Securities, then we win even more when we cash the SWAPS." Its all legal because derivatives have no regulations, thanks to Phil Gramm. Even if we lose the taxpayer will get stuck with the bill. It'll be hilarious, and highly profitable. Now peons, get back to work."

Bailout Banks are currently using bailout funds to bubble the market. Lending out of the question.

Yeahhhh... methinks I smell another rat. I'm no economy expert, but I can balance my checkbook; cash and carry on everything but the mortgage, and that was negotiated to reason. Maybe I could get a job as the "oversight" guy?

These banks have had tons of practice ripping us off, and since they are good at it, they should be allowed to continue ripping us off. Who else is capable of doing it?


--Corky

WTF!?!?!?!? "Just keep doing it, they won't notice. They didn't notice until after last time. Throw a little bit of flashy shit at them to pacify any angst they may be feeling. Look, plebeians!!! American Gladiators is back!"

If we stopped subsidizing the financials they would be well on the way to recovery by now. They would not take the risk in the first place-given the dire consequences were they screw up. As it may be now-what is to stop them from going "Hail Mary" one more time?

If we stopped subsidizing the financials they would be well on the way to recovery by now.

Of course we would. Yet the banking apologists say "prove it"...all the while, using the exact same justification for subsidizing the banks by claiming that if we didn't bail the banks out it would be "worse".

As long as we keep bailing their sorry asses out, what do you expect? They get big bone us and we get the big bone.

Corky et al have given their tacit support.


I see the Tight Right is siding with me and Michael Moore, roflmfao!!

Interesting side note, it was in 2005 that congress make a subtle change in the bankruptcy laws that explicitly exempted derivatives from bankruptcy protocol. So in a proceeding, the holder of the derivative can swoop in first and protect their interests while the legitimate creditors have to wait for the breadcrumbs.

And who are are the congressmen currently receiving the greatest enrichment from the bank lobbyists?

Oh wait, my bad, ITS ALL BUSHES FAULT! HE DID IT!!

This is a much more complicated issue than "derivatives bad, banks involved with derivatives bad". Yet I would still argue several basics that do need to occur. We should _not_ have institutions which are "too big to fail". Derivatives should be regulated. Regulations of banks should be made much more effective. Banks should be pushed into the old standard for banks - deposits and loans.

The big problem is the same as it has always been. You need someone who knows the financial and banking business to be able to effectively regulate and oversee banks and the financial system. Such people inevitably are in the banking or financial worlds. So they will always have that perspective influence their views and actions.

The instinctive reaction from people, as is mine (as seen above) is to try to simplify. Unfortunetly, the reality of the world is that is has become way too complex for that to reoccur. Yet, in the case of banks, I would still argue vehemently for simplification.

honestly people

stop trying to talk about things you have no clue about.

swaps are not the only type of derivatives.

options, futures, calls and puts, etc are derivatives

and there are several types of swaps...

We don't need to eliminate derivatives... we need to remove loopholes that allow people to cheat the system.

"I see the Tight Right is siding with me and Michael Moore, roflmfao!!"

i know its funny right. haha

This is a much more complicated issue than "derivatives bad, banks involved with derivatives bad". Yet I would still argue several basics that do need to occur. We should _not_ have institutions which are "too big to fail". Derivatives should be regulated. Regulations of banks should be made much more effective. Banks should be pushed into the old standard for banks - deposits and loans. -- #23 | Posted by AILtd

Yeah, all good points.

I've been thinking a lot about the "too big to fail" problem. It's tough to fight -- banks will argue that since "bigger" means "better able to handle risk," limiting the size of U.S. banks will reduce their global competitiveness. (I might do it anyway, but an international accord would be better.)

I wonder if it's feasible to enact regulation limiting counterparties' vulnerability. Some banks were "too big to fail" not just because they were big, but b/c their creditors had lent them so much money that the creditors would go under if the big bank failed.

More generally, I wonder if there are strategies for fighting the cascade, rather than preventing a big bank from going under or limiting the size of the banks.

#14 Mountain_mano> Yeahhhh... methinks I smell another rat. I'm no economy expert, but I can balance my checkbook; cash and carry on everything but the mortgage, and that was negotiated to reason. Maybe I could get a job as the "oversight" guy?

Sounds like you are overqualified to me. If you seriously want a job like that, try underpaying your federal income taxes to the tune of $100k~$200k or more and I'm sure Obama will have your job application approved in no time. /* sarcasm = off */

Imagine that. They make a pile on bad risk, we pay the consequences of the risk, and they want to do it again....this comes from too much government intervention.

We don't need to eliminate derivatives... we need to remove loopholes that allow people to cheat the system.

No shit, sherlock.

The bailouts are the loophole. That's what allows banks to cheat the system. Zero risk and all reward is not how the system should work.

"Some banks were "too big to fail" not just because they were big, but b/c their creditors had lent them so much money that the creditors would go under if the big bank failed." - Phoenix

I think that is what the "too big to fail" concept is all about. The idea, an economic one not a political one, is that an economy needs a foundation which is reliable. Banks are that foundation. Anything which threatens that foundation has to be responded to. And I think that, because banks are so important, they should be treated as a special case - and forced to remain in the core "banking" business. And thus not allowed to become "too big to fail".

BTW, I do not believe that companies like GM, IBM, Microsoft, etc. are in the "too big to fail" category - even though their collapse would have tremendous ramifications. And I don't think the government should be in the business of bailing them out. The big gripe I have with the exisitng bailout program. Which otherwise is doing its job.

The idea, an economic one not a political one, is that an economy needs a foundation which is reliable. Banks are that foundation.

If you believe this, you clearly haven't been paying attention for the past year.

"If you believe this, you clearly haven't been paying attention for the past year."

If you don't believe this, you only display that you don't have sufficient knowledge about economics.

Many times I have said, this democratic party and adminstration is worthless lazy do nothings.

No laws to stop what caused the mess. Nothing.

I think that is what the "too big to fail" concept is all about. The idea, an economic one not a political one, is that an economy needs a foundation which is reliable...

I know; I'm thinking about how to address the problem. "Too big" makes it sound like limiting the size of banks is the answer. It appears credible on its face b/c JP Morgan, BoA and Citi are the country's 3 largest banks. (www.federalreserve.gov)

Sounds like we agree that limiting counterparties' exposure to any one borrower is a better target, to the extent that it's feasible and could limit the cascade. ("To the extent that it's feasible" b/c I don't know how easy it is to track/quantify indirect exposure.)

BTW, I do not believe that companies like GM, IBM, Microsoft, etc. are in the "too big to fail" category - even though their collapse would have tremendous ramifications. -- #30 | Posted by AILtd

Curious -- why draw a distinction between banks and other companies? Seems to fit in the category of believing "jobless recovery" is not an oxymoron. (I'd rather not see any company classified as "too big to fail" -- moral hazard.)

""Too big" makes it sound like limiting the size of banks is the answer."

Yeah, that the obvious answer. But really difficult to realistically determine and enforce. Which is why the other idea you proposed, "limiting counterparties' exposure to any one borrower" _is_ a better target. Still, when you deal with the huge corporations, you cause problems. Another, _seemingly_ obvious, solution is to distinguish between bank lending, i.e., to people, to small (or medium) businesses, to large (and international) corporations. Again, delineation is an issue. Still, the bottom line is that it is a complex situation and will therefore require, at one point or another, a complex solution.


"Curious -- why draw a distinction between banks and other companies?"

Because of the economic definition of "too big to fail". Which is pointed towards what will cause the economic system/foundation to fall apart. While the collapse of corporations can have severe economic reprecussions, they don't threaten the system per se, merely the country's economy. A fine distinction, to be sure, but a real one.

While the collapse of corporations can have severe economic reprecussions, they don't threaten the system per se, merely the country's economy. -- #35 | Posted by AILtd

Well, "merely" seems misplaced if you spend any time in the rust belt.

And I'm thinking "the system" needs to be threatened. You know the banks could have solved their own problems. (AIG gets bailout money so it can pay its debts to... other bailout recipients? Nice con.) Their recklessness has led to 6.9 million jobs lost, 16.8% unemployment (official + people who have given up looking) www.reuters.com and 5 million home foreclosures -- and nothing has been done to keep them from going back to business as usual. This is the system you want to preserve?

"Well, "merely" seems misplaced if you spend any time in the rust belt."

It's the difference between the country's economy failing and segments of it having problems. The difference between 30-50% (or higher - read about Germany in the 1920's) unemployment and 15-20%.


"And I'm thinking "the system" needs to be threatened."

Which is another way of stating that you are willing to accept huge unemplyment for a _possible_ outcome. I don't agree.


"...nothing has been done to keep them from going back to business as usual."

That is a problem that needs to be faced. The first, and critical problem was seeing the economy collapse. Which is unacceptable. And why the banking system needed to be saved. Now comes the next step. With the added issue of what to do about "too big to fail" banks.


"This is the system you want to preserve?"

What - a system with banks as its foundation? Yep, desperately want to preserve that. If you don't, I'm sure you'll be willing to go to the 30-50% who will be unemployed and explain how things are working out better for them. Especially during the 10-20 years they will be unemployed, while the system "fixes" (will it?) itself.

"And I'm thinking "the system" needs to be threatened."

Which is another way of stating that you are willing to accept huge unemplyment for a _possible_ outcome. I don't agree. -- #37 | Posted by AILtd

Huge unemployment is the current consequence of maintaining the system we've got.

The first, and critical problem was seeing the economy collapse. Which is unacceptable. And why the banking system needed to be saved.

The banking system didn't need $700B to be saved. First, Treasury officials admitted before Congress passed the bailout billthat they pulled the number out of thin air:

On Tuesday, a Treasury Department press spokeswoman admitted the $700 billion figure was not based on any particular data point, adding with astonishing candour: "We just wanted to choose a really large number." www.telegraph.co.uk .
Second, the banks have been double-counting their potential losses:
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, then-New York Fed official Timothy Geithner, Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein, and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke...feared a systemic failure could be triggered by AIG's inability to pay the counterparties to all the sophisticated instruments AIG had sold. And who were AIG's trading partners? No shock here: Goldman, Bank of America, Merrill Lynch, UBS, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, Barclays, and on it goes. So now we know for sure what we already surmised: The AIG bailout has been a way to hide an enormous second round of cash to the same group that had received TARP money already. -- it could have saved itself. www.slate.com

"Huge unemployment is the current consequence of maintaining the system we've got."

You gotta prove a statement like that. Cause the unemployment rate isn't 30+%. And because most economists don't agree.


"The banking system didn't need $700B to be saved."

Didn't say it did. You may notice I didn't agree with the bailouts of non-banking companies which is where most of what money has been spent - and it hasn't been $700 billion, last I heard.

Address my statements or I see no reason to continue.

Yep, desperately want to preserve that. If you don't, I'm sure you'll be willing to go to the 30-50% who will be unemployed and explain how things are working out better for them. Especially during the 10-20 years they will be unemployed, while the system "fixes" (will it?) itself.

This is bullshit fearmongering. 10 to 20 years? Yes, I'm sure the solvent banks would simply leave all of that stagnating capital from collapsing banks to fester for a decade...maybe even two decades. Completely ludicrous.

What will drag this out for two decades is perpetually enabling the criminals who caused this to happen in the first place without consequences. Repeatedly propping up the collapsing system with bubble after bubble is what is taking us down this road.

You gotta prove a statement like that. Cause the unemployment rate isn't 30+%.

Adjusted, the unemployment rate is around 16 percent (including part-timers needing full time and discouraged workers). Yeah, yeah, I know the mantra...it would have been worse.

And because most economists don't agree.

This line is easily my second favorite crock of shit from this economic crisis behind "It would have been worse".

#40 | Posted by IraqiBukkake

What crap. Do you even have a clue what an economic collapse entails? Read about some before you spout crap. That's what I find most irritating about those who have no problem with an economic collapse. They demonstrate absolutely no clue about what happens in one.

Banks don't start lending immediately if they've gone under. Unemployment doesn't stop as soon as banks start lending. Companies don't start hiring immediately after they can borrow again. Everything takes lots of time. And each situation lenthens that time. In Germany of the 1920s and 1930s that took 15-20 years.

"Adjusted, the unemployment rate is around 16 percent ..."

Not what I was referring to. Which was his statement "Huge unemployment is the current consequence of maintaining the system we've got."
And comparing what the unemployment rate is now to what it would be in a banking system collapse.


"This line is easily my second favorite crock of shit from this economic crisis behind "It would have been worse"."

Yeah, because what do professionals know - HIE experts obviously know better. The most obvious indicator of American decline is this belief that all opinions are equal. And that someone who dabbles obviously knows more than someone who has devoted their career to a topic.

"Huge unemployment is the current consequence of maintaining the system we've got."

You gotta prove a statement like that. Cause the unemployment rate isn't 30+%.

I have to prove that our current 16%+ unemployment rate is the consequence of bankers' unchecked greed, but you can baldly assert that had we not bailed them out, the unemployment rate would be 30-50%?

most economists don't agree.

Link, please.

Address my statements or I see no reason to continue. -- #39 | Posted by AILtd

LOL. I'd turn tail and run right now too, if I were you.

And because most economists don't agree. -- #39 | Posted by AILtd

BTW, have you forgotten that "most economists" were completely blindsided by the current crisis?

Do you even have a clue what an economic collapse entails? Read about some before you spout crap... In Germany of the 1920s and 1930s that took 15-20 years. -- #42 | Posted by AILtd

Good grief. If knowing anything about Germany in the 1920's was the key to managing our financial infrastructure, we wouldn't be in this mess.

Not quite on target, but one of my favorite quotes from Bernanke:

I would like to say to Milton and Anna [Schwartz, Friedman's coauthor]: Regarding the Great Depression. You're right, we did it. We're very sorry. But thanks to you, we won't do it again." (From a 2002 speech honoring Friedman's 90th birthday.) en.wikipedia.org

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