I fail to be convinced that there is more than a coincidental linkage. Baby Bush always wanted the moratorium lifted, and he's getting progress, but the oil sheiks are realizing that their soul mates are moving out of power soon. They are scared of that. They are also scared that a global recession will do more to cut consumption than any demands by Bush for conservation.
Here is something that probably contributed a bit more to the change in oil prices: The US signaled a major policy shift towards Iran, announcing that a senior US diplomat would attend talks with Iran and other major powers over Tehran's nuclear program.
William Burns, the US under-secretary of state, is to attend the weekend meeting in Geneva along with other members of the P5 plus one group which includes also Britain, China, France, Russia, and Germany.
"This will be a one time US participation," White House spokeswoman Dana Perino said, reported Agence France Presse (AFP).
The US is among the six powers which have offered a package of incentives, including direct contact and dialogue, if Iran suspends its nuclear program.
The aim is "to demonstrate that the P5 plus one ... is united in its longstanding principle that Iran, in order to take advantage of an incentives package that is quite generous, has to halt its nuclear enrichment," Perino added.
Burns' presence at the weekend meeting marks a clear shift in its policy towards Tehran.
In the past, the Bush administration has insisted that no talks will be held with Iranian officials until Tehran suspends its nuclear enrichment program.