Drudge Retort: Red Meat for Yellow Dogs

ScienceDaily (May 2, 2008) -- Fewer caribou calves are being born and more of them are dying in West Greenland as a result of a warming climate, according to Eric Post, a Penn State associate professor of biology. Post, who believes that caribou may serve as an indicator species for climate changes including global warming, based his conclusions on data showing that the timing of peak food availability no longer corresponds to the timing of caribou births.

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Its unfortunate, but this sort of thing has happened more then once, to alot more species in the past and has caused extinctions--well before our time I might add.

The caribou will either adapt, or gradually perish,unfortunately.

"Its unfortunate, but this sort of thing has happened more then once, to alot more species in the past and has caused extinctions--well before our time I might add.

The caribou will either adapt, or gradually perish,unfortunately."

Tortured sentences posted by SpiderWolve.

"Human beings are currently causing the greatest
mass extinction of species since the extinction of
the dinosaurs 65 million years ago. If present trends continue one half of all species of life on earth will be extinct in less than 100 years, as a result of habitat destruction, pollution, invasive species, and climate change."

www.well.com



There are hundreds of links.

"most Americans are only dimly aware"

www.well.com

That's generous.

The caribou will either adapt, or gradually perish,unfortunately.

Posted by SpiderWolve at 2008-05-03 08:23 AM | Reply


People too.

Hah, you people are funny.

Global Warming is a naturally occuring event that happens often. Its happening on Mars too, the entire solar system is feeling it. Are we responsible for that too?

And yes, we will adapt. We've managed to make it this far.

Even after all these millenia, people still think they control the natural process of the universe around them.

Remember, we orbit the sun, the sun does not orbit the earth.

It's also killing humans in Haiti and Africa.

There are hundreds of links.

Posted by Zatoichi at 2008-05-03 09:26


A falsehood told a thousand times is still a falsehood.

It's also killing humans in Haiti and Africa.

Posted by shirtsbyeric at 2008-05-03 12:09


Good point. Warmer weather is a boon to agriculture. The food problem is a monetary problem. The poorest countries are the first to feel the effects of high food prices caused by inflation.

Yes, we know, Ray.
You demonstrate it regularly.

"Five times in the past half-billion years, the fossil record shows us, living things have been wiped out over much of the earth. Catastrophic changes in climate, or the impact of an asteroid or a comet, are the likeliest causes for the five great extinctions which geologists and palaeobiologists have identified, ranging from the Ordovician-Silurian extinction, of about 439 million years ago, to the Cretaceous-Tertiary (K/T} extinction of 65 million years ago, when the dinosaurs disappeared [1]. -- The Five Worst Extinctions in Earth's History. Some add another at the Cambrian-Ordovician boundary.

What is the rate of extinction? The normal "background rate of extinction is roughly 1-2 species per year." [2]. Others calculate it at as 'two to five families of marine invertebrates and vertebrates every million years'.

"Paleontologists estimate the background rate of species extinction--the long-term extinction rate exhibited prior to humanity's influence--at between 1 and 10 extinctions each decade among every million fossil species. Assuming from a variety of estimates that 10 million species are alive today (Stork 1993 and 1997, May 1988, Hammond 1992), scientists can expect from 1 to 10 species to go extinct each year from all forms of life, visible and microscopic. In fact, species are exiting much faster. Based on records of extinction among the best- studied types of animals, ecologist Stuart Pimm and colleagues calculated extinction rates during the past century to range from 100 to 10,000 species per year (again, assuming 10 million species exist). That rate is between 100 and 1000 times faster than the background rate of species extinction (Pimm et al 1995)." [3] - Bold mine. Extinction rates in the tropics are based on rates of deforestation.

Unfortunately "the Earth needs, on average, about 10 million years to recover from global extinctions"."

www.sourcewatch.org

Happy extinction.

Here's a classic:

Science 20 May 1988:
Vol. 240. no. 4855, pp. 996 - 1002
DOI: 10.1126/science.240.4855.996

Articles

Abrupt Climate Change and Extinction Events in Earth History
Thomas J. Crowley 1 and Gerald R. North 2

1 Senior scientist with the Applied Research Corporation, ARC Technologies, 305 Arguello Drive, College Station, TX 77840
2 Distinguished professor of meteorology and oceanography and director, Climate System Research Program, Department of Meteorology, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843

Slowly changing boundary conditions can sometimes cause discontinuous responses in climate models and result in relatively rapid transitions between different climate states. Such terrestrially induced abrupt climate transitions could have contributed to biotic crises in earth history. Ancillary events associated with transitions could disperse unstable climate behavior over a longer but still geologically brief interval and account for the stepwise nature of some extinction events. There is a growing body of theoretical and empirical support for the concept of abrupt climate change, and a comparison of paleoclimate data with the Phanerozoic extinction record indicates that climate and biotic transitions often coincide. However, more stratigraphic information is needed to precisely assess phase relations between the two types of transitions. The climate-life comparison also suggests that, if climate change is significantly contributing to biotic turnover, ecosystems may be more sensitive to forcing during the early stages of evolution from an ice-free to a glaciated state. Our analysis suggests that a terrestrially induced climate instability is a viable mechanism for causing rapid environmental change and biotic turnover in earth history, but the relation is not so strong that other sources of variance can be excluded.

www.sciencemag.org

Yeah sure. It's man's fault that the dinosaurs went extinct. If you are so fearful, why wait? End it now.

Still waiting for you to explain in your own words how insignificant changes of quantities of CO2 override the other greenhouse gases.

The major decline of the West Greenland caribou herd during the 1970s prompted a study in 197778 of caribou behaviour in relation to environmental factors associated with the decline. Quantification of caribou activity revealed behavioural responses to critically low standing crops of preferred winter forage. Caribou on poor winter range were mostly inactive with low feeding intensities and abnormal diurnal activity patterns. In addition, these animals exhibited very restricted movements, frequently occurred alone or in small groups, and were unable to maintain normal social bonds. In contrast, where fruticose lichen winter forage was available, caribou did not display these behavioural traits. After the initiation of new vegetative growth, feeding intensity increased and social tendency returned. Comparison with behavioural data from other Rangifer populations suggests that the observed responses to low forage quality are not restricted to Greenland but are a normal response of barren-ground caribou to winter ranges poor in lichen forage.


www.blackwell-synergy.com


The in 2001 or so they had to increase hunting to control the herds for fear of overpopulation.
CYCLES like SPUDER was saying.

SPIDER! sorry ...typing and having lunch.

Haha, its alright. That U is awfully close to that I...

and..isn't bad nettiquette to type with your mouth full? ;)


It's also killing humans in Haiti and Africa.

Posted by shirtsbyeric at 2008-05-03 12:09 PM | Reply

So, Global Warming(tm) causes AIDS and government corruption?

On Topic ......

All animals (and plants) exist for our use. If you can't grind it up and put it on a bun, then it has no value -- except as food for something else we can grind and eat.

If people in Greenland run out of carbou to eat, they can kill whales

THE AMAZING, STUPENDOUS, SUPER-FUCKIN-DUPER GLOBAL WARMING INDICATING SWIMMING POOL!

The Global Warming crowd just gave themselves a ten-year-long reprieve, saying that cooling oceans will probably delay the inevitable warming that is happening, but isn't happening.

Maybe there were too many caribou, and this is nature's way of culling the herd. Or maybe many of the caribou moved elsewhere. Maybe some got sick of something unrelated to my preferring to drive over walking. Maybe he miscounted. Or maybe he's right about everything: the earth is warming up, which means more food--but the caribou are spending their time gorging themselves instead of cold-humping on the ice.

"SWIMMING POOL!"

Posted by Axiom

Been swimming in it for six weeks now.
Ten years ago I wouldn't even have cleaned it out this early.

Data:
data.giss.nasa.gov


Global average March temps in F since '68:

i179.photobucket.com

"but isn't happening"

Better check that thermometer.

data.giss.nasa.gov

i179.photobucket.com

Hope you have a lot of beach front.

tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov

Ocean Cooling to Briefly Halt Global Warming, Researchers Say

April 30 (Bloomberg) -- Parts of North America and Europe may cool naturally over the next decade, as shifting ocean currents temporarily blunt the global-warming effect caused by mankind, Germany's Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences said.

Average temperatures in areas such as California and France may drop over the next 10 years, influenced by colder flows in the North Atlantic, said a report today by the institution based in Kiel, Germany. Temperatures worldwide may stabilize in the period.

www.bloomberg.com

If I hear Go Green one more time or that Global Warming is real I am going to vomit.

Larry Mohr

Global warming can't be real because it might cut into my profit margins. - Typical Rightwinger

Still waiting for Zat to explain in his own words, how insignificant changes in CO2 can override all the other greenhouse gases.

Global warming can't be real because it might cut into my profit margins. - Typical Rightwinger

Posted by moder8
* * * *


Um, why? Warmer temperatures mean more food. Means more leisure time and travel. Throughout history, warming trends have been uniformly more prosperous than falling temperatures.

Go build your strawmen elsewhere. What's more, if YOU believe YOU'RE causing global warming and that it's BAD, just what are you doing about it? If you're like most libs, the answer is: nada. At least we money-grubbing rightwingers are consistent--we believe global warming is nonsense, and live accordingly.

Considering this factoid, one wonders why the fearful Zat hasn't moved from his Texas ranch into the highlands.

"The Antarctic Ice Sheet holds nearly 90 percent of the world's ice and 70 percent of its fresh water. If the entire ice sheet were to melt, sea level would rise by nearly 220 feet, or the height of a 20-story building. Scientists know there's a melting trend underway. The United Nations has said that in a worst-case scenario -- depending on how much global air temperatures increase -- seas could jump 3 feet (1 meter) by 2100."

Considering this factoid, one wonders why the fearful Zat hasn't moved from his Texas ranch into the highlands.
* * * *

Too much trouble.

Just like it's too much trouble to park your car and walk. Just like it's too much trouble to replace your bulbs with more expensive, but longer lasting enviro-friendly ones. Just like it's too much trouble to turn off the air conditioner.

Libs are like that. They pretend to know what's good for the world, but it wouldn't occur to them to actually make the requisite changes in their lifestyles to bring it about. What would happen to so-called greenhouse gases if the country's Gore voters traded in their SUV's for a Prius? Hell--what would happen to GAS PRICES were they to do that?

Too much trouble.

The funny irony is that Zatoichi takes the name of a fearless Samurai warrior, yet is afraid of the weather. "Chicken Little" is more apropos.

1861 John Tyndall, "On the Absorption and Radiation of Heat by Gases and Vapours..." Philosophical Magazine ser. 4, 22: 169-94, 273-85.

1863 John Tyndall, "On Radiation through the Earth's Atmosphere." Philosophical Magazine ser. 4, 25: 200-206.

1863 John Tyndall, "On the Relation of Radiant Heat to Aqueous Vapor." Philosophical Magazine ser. 4, 26: 30-54.

1896 Svante Arrhenius, "On the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air Upon the Temperature of the Ground." Philosophical Magazine 41: 237-76.

Do try and keep up.

Can you ever write something in your own words? You don't appear to understand the bullshit you post.

I understand what Zat posts completely. He's specifically addressing what's been raised. Unlike this stuff:

Global Warming is a naturally occuring event that happens often. Its happening on Mars too, the entire solar system is feeling it. Are we responsible for that too?
SpiderWolve


Links? Data? I've addressed this at least twice before using the sources provided by others that have raised the same point. The original source articles say nothing of the sort.

Good point. Warmer weather is a boon to agriculture. The food problem is a monetary problem. The poorest countries are the first to feel the effects of high food prices caused by inflation.

Ray


Some typically cooler areas will provide more food, and some areas that provide food are drying up and becoming desert. This isn't a "nothing but gain" argument. It is fallacious on the very surface, and the data from around the world proves it.

Um, why? Warmer temperatures mean more food. Means more leisure time and travel. Throughout history, warming trends have been uniformly more prosperous than falling temperatures.

RIGHTISRIGHT


I'd love to see the data on that. Especially the leisure aspect.

Still waiting for Zat to explain in his own words, how insignificant changes in CO2 can override all the other greenhouse gases.

Ray


For an Engineer, or someone that says he was trained to be an Engineer you appear to have missed some very basic principles. What's your definition of "insignificant"? Is it 25% of a critical system component? Do you understand what would happen if we had half the CO2 we have right now? Do you have any information you'd like to share that illustrates the relative insensitivity of CO2 in stoichiometric relation to other atmospheric gases?

Here's your chance to educate everyone. Dispute the equations, the experiments, the data collected. Surely you know something Scientists that do this for a living to not.

Since the solar-forcing variability has been measured by satellites, we therefore now know both the forcing and the response (assuming cause and effect). This information is then used to deduce the climate sensitivity. Since the equilibrium response should be larger than the periodic response measured, the periodic solar-cycle response measurements yields a lower bound on the equilibrium climate sensitivity that is equivalent to a global warming of 2.3 K at doubled CO2. A 95% confidence interval is estimated to be 2.3-4.1 K. This range is established independent of models.

www.amath.washington.edu

www.pnas.org


Do you understand what would happen if we had half the CO2 we have right now? Do you have any information you'd like to share that illustrates the relative insensitivity of CO2 in stoichiometric relation to other atmospheric gases?


I don't think anyone does, so it is as inappropriate for the global warming alarmists to make a claim as it is for the global warming deniers to deny it.

Some typically cooler areas will provide more food, and some areas that provide food are drying up and becoming desert. This isn't a "nothing but gain" argument. It is fallacious on the very surface, and the data from around the world proves it.
* * * *

Now who's not providing links and data?

I don't think anyone does, so it is as inappropriate for the global warming alarmists to make a claim as it is for the global warming deniers to deny it.

Hi Goatman, hope your Sunday's going well. If you're really, really bored you can read the amath link I posted. I did post the conclusion from it. You can see how they've analyzed data from 4 solar cycles, eliminated variables, contained the expressions to the principle point that Ray was making: CO2.

If you discount the idea, it's up to you and the deniers to post a counter. The counter MUST be falsifiable.

A Scientific Theory can not be proven. It must be possible to disprove it or it can not be called a Theory. It is up t those that dispute the theory to 1) disprove the prevailing theory or 2) counter with another disprovable theory.

This is why Creationism is invalid. The counter to GW so far has been akin to "The Theory of Evolution is invalid because Genesis says . . . and I believe Genesis."

The debate has been active and energetic within the Scientific community. The assumption that there is some group think, some agenda, some cause that unites everyone to conspire and promote a fallacy is psychologically interesting, but Scientifically meaningless.

BTW, proving the effects of changes in CO2 on atmospheric warming is a High School Science lab experiment. This point is so beyond the need for proof it's embarrassing. The only source of contention that has any validity is the relative effects of other variables, such as soot, increased desert dust/sand, and CO2 sink capacity.


If I hear Go Green one more time or that Global Warming is real I am going to vomit.

Larry Mohr


Going green is the new fad.

Now, I don't have an issue with people purchasing products that have less of an impact on the environment, but give me a break. In a few months or a year's time, just about everything will be "green", and a new catch phrase will have to be invented to make people feel guilty enough to purchase over-priced goods.

Fear mongering works two ways.

Either terrorists are out to kill us because of our freedoms or global warming is going to kill us because of our excesses. I wish someone would clarify which one of these issues is the most dangerous so that I can get on with the business of ignoring it.


This is why Creationism is invalid. The counter to GW so far has been akin to "The Theory of Evolution is invalid because Genesis says . . . and I believe Genesis."


Well if you're looking for Goatman to say "we won't become extinct from this planet until God wills it to be", you're looking in the wrong direction.

So what was the point of your post, if not to hint that those of us that don't believe one way or the other must be "bible thumping, backward ass republicans"?

BTW, proving the effects of changes in CO2 on atmospheric warming is a High School Science lab experiment.

Yes it is. But you know as well as I do, Yav, that the global warming is not based on one element. There are many. What role do the oceans play? As the earth heats up, does the extra moisture in the air make more clouds that reflect more sunlight? Are there other components of the atmosphere that act in as of yet unknown ways in the science of climatology? Do we have enough historical data? (you know how I feel on that, of course. I repeat it so much I know that readers are sick of hearing my 8 second analogy)

Though I am not blaming you of doing so, there are indeed many people who grab the fact that CO2 has risen from 288 PPM to 350 PPM (forgive me if the numbers aren't exact) like a snapping turtle that won't let go and cry "global warming, global warming".

Yes you can prove that CO2 is a greenhouse gas. But this does not prove that man solely to blame for warming the planet. There are simply too many variables and it is folly to pretend we understand even a fraction of them.

And yes, the afternoon is going much better than the morning. Thank you. We are setting down anchors and three of our four anchor winches decided to go south withing two hours of each other. *groan* As soon as I got one running, another took a crap. This puts us on downtime which at $480k/day is $20k/hr lost to the company.

I'm relaxing with a cup of coffee right now wincing everytime the PA squawks in fear it is for me.

Well if you're looking for Goatman to say "we won't become extinct from this planet until God wills it to be", you're looking in the wrong direction.

Not at all! I know Goatman's views and thought it would be particularly meaningful to him.

So what was the point of your post, if not to hint that those of us that don't believe one way or the other must be "bible thumping, backward ass republicans"?

A tad bit sensitive? There are respectable Republicans you know. The point is this:

Disprove the theory or post a counter theory that is falsifiable.

PS: Using the scientific burden of proof, isn't it up the supportors of anthropogenic global warming to prove it is ineed man's doing since there are provable historical cycles of climate change which clearly were not influenced by man?

I looked at the amath link, Yav, and it looks a little too much to absorb while I am on the clock. I'll read it tonight in bed on the laptop. Thanks for the suggested reading.

I'm relaxing with a cup of coffee right now wincing everytime the PA squawks in fear it is for me.

I have the same feeling when my cell phone rings during work hours. Glad you have some down time and can relax a bit. I'm about to go for a ~5 mile run.

YES on your first paragraph! That was exactly my point, and why I spent the time I did to find and reference the study I posted. That grabbing one variable thing goes both ways, as you've seen. I used that one because Ray grabbed hold and I thought it was useful to introduce the concept of stoichiometry and sensitivity. I can tell you this, an incredibly slight variation in primer mix and gas content can lead to devastating consequences. How can you get such a concept across at such a casual discussion level?

Anyway, your first paragraph asks some good questions. There are entire projects across the world that have taken on such questions, worked through them, looked at the data, the math, the models, the predictions, proposed hypothesis and then put the work up for review and contestation to make sure it has a reasonable level of probability.

When it's all said and done, what we're dealing with is a set of probabilities. That's all.

You roll the dice, you take your chances.

(Generally I roll with the odds, unless I'm feeling adventurous)

Speaking of that, good luck on the new drill site!

(Out of here for now)


PS: Using the scientific burden of proof, isn't it up the supportors of anthropogenic global warming to prove it is ineed man's doing since there are provable historical cycles of climate change which clearly were not influenced by man?


Sure, but we can't talk about those.

I'm not sure why, but we can't bring up the other ice ages or the other warming periods. We're not allowed to point out that the sun might be a larger factor than what is considered. If anyone mentions that Mar's is warming, they're just deflecting.

Don't forget Goat.

"The discussion about global warming is over."

Axiom

I wanted to catch you and saw you just posted on here.

I left you two links for possible sources for your Robotech series in paperback in the "Kindle" thread. I wasn't sure you had seen them before the thread was removed from the Front Page so I'll relink it again. Go down to the end and two of my posts are for you.

thread containing links for Robotech books


A tad bit sensitive? There are respectable Republicans you know. The point is this:


My apologies. The general rule of thumb that human-caused-global-warming advocates use seems to be that us folks who don't buy it one way or another are "uneducated", "stupid" or "waiting for God to start the rapture".

All of which are just as disingenuous as someone who claims that global warming isn't happening at all.

Thanks alot Chris. Much appreciated.

Yav

Beyond poking at Zat to explain the cut-and-paste jargon he posts, this topic doesn't excite me enough to give much thought. So the weather has been getting warmer, so what?

Climates are very dynamic and complex, hence don't make for a good subject for computer modeling. They have the same weakness as economic modeling. There are too many unknowns and a lot of guesstimates put into them. And when you shroud them in politics, they are even more suspicious.

Disprove the theory or post a counter theory that is falsifiable.
Computer models can't be falsified in the sense that the modelers tend to adjust the assumptions when they drift from expectations. We see this with economic mathematical models. They never catch turns in the economy, yet mainstream economists continue to rely on them for making policy.

A reminder for the heartless (grin)

awww - a little baby Caribou

Greenlands getting warmer. Food grows better and bigger when it is warm longer. Therefore calfs would do better in a warm enviroment. Problem solved.

This is not as tough as Zatoichi's global warming pool.

Look for another tie in losers.

Global warming is a hoax made up by Al Gore.
The world is flat.
Science is bad.
Truth is a liberal lie.
We have very small penises.

Sincerely,

The DR Rightwing

We have very small penises.

Sincerely,

The DR Rightwing


Some of us silly human beings are vain enough that we think that we understand climatology and can say with certainty that we are the cause of global warming.

signed:
the uninformed who think they know everything
(no stupid knee-jerk political affiliation or tiny dick references necessary)

I'm a really smart, enlightened guy. I work on an oil platform.

Sincerely,

....

I'm a really smart, enlightened guy. I work on an oil platform.

You wish. I'll help. Have you learned how to correctly use the term "day rate" in a sentence? If so, we'll move on to the next lesson.

Wow moder8, you're slipping.

Usually, the "small penis" jabs come out right at the start.

You're a fucking idiot. I wish I could tell you that to your face, but I'm sure your mother, father and close family and well just about everyone else remind you on a daily basis. I'd just be piling on, wouldn't I?

"You're a fucking idiot. I wish I could tell you that to your face, but I'm sure your mother, father and close family and well just about everyone else remind you on a daily basis. I'd just be piling on, wouldn't I?"

Wow Axiom, you sure got me that time. And if you believe that you probably also believe GWB is a great President and that Iraq was involved with 9-11. You're a joke. I really don't know anybody on this website who takes you seriously, other than similarly situated idiotic rightwing douchebags. But knock yourself out.

Cheers.

(And I'm sorry if that comment about small penises hit too close to home for you.)

Moder8, republicans must have bigger penises why else would dems like you go around complaining about republicans giving you a royal screwing.

Yav said : "Links? Data? I've addressed this at least twice before using the sources provided by others that have raised the same point. The original source articles say nothing of the sort.
"

Ok...

here:
news.nationalgeographic.com

Not sure how to italicize things like you all do here, so pardon my messy posts.

And to further push my point:
http://science.slashdot.org/ article.pl?sid=07/03/03/ 2310250

http://www.news.com.au/ perthnow/story/ 0,21598,21509879- 5005369,00.html

Hmm..messylink, sorry, HTML skills are lacking.


Wow Axiom, you sure got me that time. And if you believe that you probably also believe GWB is a great President and that Iraq was involved with 9-11. You're a joke. I really don't know anybody on this website who takes you seriously, other than similarly situated idiotic rightwing douchebags. But knock yourself out.


Let's pick this apart.

1. I don't have any good feelings for GWB. Nice try, but I've been just as critical about him as any real American should.

2. I am not here to be taken seriously. If you're here for validation, might want to think about therapy and pills. They do work wonders.

3. I might be idiotic. It's all a matter of perspective. Do crazy people know they're crazy? Do dumb people know they're dumb? Who knows? But I'm defiantly not a right-winger.

So what we've learned by this is that you don't really have any basis for your loathing. So which ultra-liberal blog do you take your marching orders from?

I'd love to have an intelligent conversation with you, but I don't think you could keep up. Just copy and paste the next standard reply from your handbook below.

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