Last Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its monthly job report showing that the economy lost 345,000 jobs in May. This brings the total number of jobs lost in the first full three months since the economic stimulus package was passed to 1.5 million jobs. Countering these inconvenient truths, President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden unveiled a new "accelerated" "roadmap to recovery", which the AP dryly notes "is neither new nor accelerated." Officially, the Obama administration claims their stimulus plan has already "saved or created" 150,000 jobs, but even that number is fuzzy: This Sunday on CNN, Obama adviser David Axelrod claimed the stimulus "has produced hundreds of thousands of jobs."
Even Democrats are beginning to question the integrity of the Obama administration's economic claims. Grilling Obama's Treasury Secretary, Sen. Max Baucus (D-MT) said:
You created a situation where you cannot be wrong. If the economy loses 2 million jobs over the next few years, you can say yes, but it would've lost 5.5 million jobs. If we create a million jobs, you can say, well, it would have lost 2.5 million jobs. You've given yourself complete leverage where you cannot be wrong, because you can take any scenario and make yourself look correct.
Baucus is right. Continuing to play the Obama administration's "saved or created" jobs game is a fool's errand. They will always just re-tweak their formulas to come up with fake numbers to justify their policies. So can Americans find an objective metric to cut through the mendacity of the Obama administration's "saved or created" jobs mantra? Yes we can. By matching the Obama administration's past promises to past BLS data, a clear jobs baseline emerges. When the Obama administration first unveiled the stimulus plan in November they claimed it would create 2.5 million jobs by the end of 2010. At the time BLS reported that U.S. economy employed about 136.1 million jobs. But by January that number fell to 134.6 million jobs. Not so coincidentally, the Obama administration upped the job-creating magic of the stimulus to 4 million jobs by the end of 2010.
Is there a commonality between these two sets of numbers? There sure is: 136.1 million plus 2.5 million equals 138.6 million; and 134.6 million plus 4 million equals 138.6 million. Voila: the objective, Obama administration created, BLS data verifiable, jobs accountability number is 138.6 million.
Apparently so is the administration.