Danforth,
Ah, but that wasn't your argument at all. You stated that passbook folkss were "THE ONLY ONES WHO DID OKAY IN 2008", NOT that they did OKAY in comparison to DJIA investors.
In addition, you are using the DJIA and how many investors make an investment in the entire DJIA? Very few, I would venture to say. Most individuals invest in one or two DJIA companies and even serious traders invest in a few dozen.
In addition, if all companies in the DJIA dropped a total of about 34% I would be in 7th heaven.
Why would I be overjoyed? Simply because unlike passbook savings, a smart investor can make money if stocks go DOWN in value as well as when they go UP in value because if you know what you are doing you would SHORT stocks that you believe are going to go down in value.
I can say truthfully that I have NEVER lost a dime in stock market trading. In fact every stock transaction I have ever made was at a profit far above the inflation rate. Why? Because I only traded in stocks of companies that I knew all about and therefore knew when to buy LONG and when to buy SHORT, as well as when to dump them as well.
These are things that you can't do with passbook savings.
You see, you missed the point of stock trading entirely. That is that stocks go up, stocks go down. You just need to know the right time for those events to happen.
The Big Three automakers are a classic example of that. Do you need to have it posted in neon lights that they were going to plunge badly in 2008? Only if you lived on a deserted island for the past 20 years.
If you would have SHORTed 1000 shares of GM on 1/7/08 at 23.10, you would have changed your $23,100 plus commissions into $43,000 minus comm on 12/31/08, not adjusted for inflation.
That is a ROI of 86.15%.
For FORD you would have paid $6,210 on 1/7/08 and it would have grown to $10,210 by 12/31/08, a ROI of 64.4%.
Since Chrysler is privately held you couldn't get in on that gravey train.
But the point is that the DJIA is NOT the measure of how much someone can make in the stock market since you can LONG or SHORT stocks, thus you can get just as rich (or poor, if you make stupid choices) when the DJIA is falling as when it is rising.
It is just that it takes more money to make money SHORTing stocks than LONGing since you have to pay the current price and will hopefully make back your investment as the stock falls. When you LONG a stock, you make money as it rises in value so you need less money to make money.
Of course you can MARGIN a stock, paying less than full value but that is very dangerous since if you are SHORTing the stock and it goes up (which any stock can do on daily trading), a margin call will require you to pay in more money to maintian the margin percentage. Obviously if the stock shoots up, you can be destroyed by margin calls.
Thats the stock market lesson for today kiddies, now go play in the sandbox...