McCain 271 EV
NOBama 269 EV
Senate Dems 56 + 1 Independent )Sanders)
Reps 52 + 1 Independent (Lieberman)
Arizona law gives power of appointment to the Governor to fill term until 2010 BUT the Democratic Governor is required to choose a Republican replacement. It can be expected that she will pick a RINO or liberal Republican to fill McCain's remaining term.
House - This will be the hardest and where the Democrats will pick up a good number of seats.
Best guess - Dems 249 - Reps 186
In neither case will the Dems get a 2/3 majority or even a filibuster stopping 60 votes in the Senate, but they are close.
Unless the Republicans get their act together, in two years they could be facing 60 Dems in the Senate.
In 2010 8 Republicans will be 69 or older and several of those will probably not run, particularly Bunning of KY at 79, Specter of PA at 80, Bennett of UT at 77, Grassley of IA at 77, Shelbey of AL at 76, Maybe Voinovich of OH at 71 and Kit Bond of MO at 71, That would be 7 open seats which would give the Dems a golden Opportunity.
On the Dem side Inoeye of HI will be 86 but odds of a Rep winning in Hawaii are nil. Reid of NV will be 70 and may be vulnerable with the way he has run the Senate. Mikulski of MD will be 74, Leahy of VT will be 70, Dorgen of ND will be 69 as will be Boxer of CA. The only vulnerable seat besides Reid would be Leahy, since VT has been willing to vote Independent. But even then, they would tend toward Liberal Independents.
So unless there are some scandels, it looks much bleaker for the Reps than the Dems unless they come up with fresh new faces for 2010.
So not only could the Dems break the 60 seats mark in the Senate but have a long shot at the magic 66 vote override mark.
Of course, if they do get 249 in the House in 2008, they are within striking distance of the magic 284 that is 2/3rds of the House for overrides. 35 more net wins in 2010 would give it to them.
So President McCain could face a veto-proof Congress in 2011 and 2012 unless he turns his party around.
