Right Bob - you presented every possible reason, both real and hypothetical, that would tend to prove that this wasn't a fake
It is called looking at all sides of the issue and weighing possiblities.
- but we are supposed to believe you hadn't made up your mind yet just because you qualified one post?
I think I can find other posts that reinforce that concept since it is the only concept I had in mind. If I hear much more about this I will look for another post that shows the same open mindedness about the subject.
I don't care if that's what you said. Your tone in the thread was clearly one of condescension toward those who believed the story was fake.
My tone of condescension was for those who had made up their mind, when such a conclusion was not possible.
Anyone with a brain figured that out in two seconds, and it corresponds perfectly with your stance in every other supernatural/conspiracy thread.
All the others you mentioned are backed up by video proofs. Either believe the videos and logic or don't. I never was a Big Foot fanatic, but I believe it is possible and gave it a 35% chance. Still do. But like the others--if there is a picture, and seemingly reputable people backing it up with their reputations, I give it a high probability--like 85%--of being true. That doesn't mean I believe it. I believe it when confirmation comes through.
Same with the blue blob---I don't know what it is--but everyone else thinks it is a bug--even though no one can duplicate the effect. People have to evaluate which is more logical. Which is more valid. Do you believe it is it a bug even though no one has been able to duplicate the effect---or do you believe it is a bug because everyone else says it is a bug?
Same with the smokestack on the moon. Is it a still picture that somehow has movement in it, or is it exactly what it looks like? Which is more logical?
www.youtube.com
Now, I was curious enough to buy a copy of "To the Moon" to evaluate the footage myself. You can barely see it and it could easily be overlooked. In fact, I missed it several times during playback even though I knew it was there. The dvd at that point has the astronauts reading from the bible on Christmas Eve. There is no mention of the smokestack, and it is on for less than a second. Maybe 4 frames.
Again, this is an evaluation of probabilities. Could this be a single frame that has a smudge as suggested, that somehow has movement and then the frame returns to an unsmudged state? Or is it exactly what it looks like? Well, I used to be a projectionist for several years, and smudges don't do that, either in developing or in projection. The zoom had little to do with it IMO, and is a standard editing process. However, even on this I am not convinced it is absolutely a smokestack, indicating life, or a smokestack, indicating volcanic activity. My evaluation is like this
Smokestack indicating life--85%
Smokestack indicating volcanic activity--85%
Smokestack is smudge--.05%
But I don't claim to know what it is. Because I don't know what it is. Same with the Big Foot in the Freezer. I high confidence no one would put their reps on the line so foolishly--but not 100%. As stated.
Posted by JOE at 2008-08-19 04:46 PM | Reply