Obama's Top Ten | Drudge Retort

Thursday, April 24, 2008

The Top Ten List of Undisputed Facts Showing Barack Obama's Weakness in the General Election Against John McCain

Posted by Corky at 09:49 AM | 9 COMMENTS | permalink | Comment on This Entry |

Front Page
News Weblog
Comments
Flagged Comments
User Blogs
Write a Blog Entry
Create a Poll
Edit Account
Weekly Digest
Stats Page
RSS Feed
Back Page

Subscriptions

Author Info

Corky

Private E-mail
No Home Page

Joined 2005/05/24
Visited 2012/05/25

Status: user

Mitt's Dog Sings! The Ballad of Seamus Romney (5 comments) ...

Mitt Pledges 6 % Unemployment – Just What CBO Projects Now (19 comments) ...

Don’t Be Fooled - The GOP is Anti Capitalism (65 comments) ...

Technology’s Perfect Storm Is Coming This Fall (11 comments) ...

Special Features

Daily Nooner

Comments

Admin's note: Participants in the discussion of this weblog entry should note the site's moderation policy.

"Obama's Sour "Apples to Apples"

Barack Obama is hemmorhaging support against John McCain in states where Democrats can/should win in November.

In the last six weeks, Barack Obama has been losing support, while Hillary Clinton has gained support, when matched against McCain.

Much of Clinton's additional support is from voters who were undecided in late February, and Clinton essentially "split" the "recent deciders" with McCain; as a result there is little change in her margins against McCain.

But people who were undecided whether they preferred Obama or McCain are also making up their minds and choosing McCain. As a result, Obama's margins against McCain are looking much worse.

This is true among all major demographic categories that were available for comparison if Obama improves in a category, Clinton has shown greater improvement in that category.

And in categories where Clinton is not doing as well as she was in February, Obama is doing consistently worse."

"CONCLUSION

Obama is tanking, while Clinton is holding her own.

While these 9 states are not representative of all 50 states (no Mountain/Plains or Southern states), they do represent the states that Democrats have to win in order to take the White House. Obama's weakness in states like California and Massachusetts states that this year a Democrat should not have to be very concerned about, is worrisome. Even more alarming is what is happening in Missouri and (especially) Ohio Obama's loss of support in those states raise serious questions about his electability.

The advantage in the "electability" argument that Obama held six weeks ago has vanished. Six weeks ago, Obama was doing significantly better than Clinton in these nine key states, now Clinton is doing better than Obama.

And, as shall be seen in the next part of this series, Obama's problems exist across all key demographic groups. He's losing male and female support. He's losing White support, and losing support among "Independent" voters and "Moderates" as well, while Clinton is either increasing her support, or at least holding her own, in all these key demographics."

excerpts

www.correntewire.com

Posted by Corky at 2008-04-24 10:07 AM | Reply | Flag:

Oops.

One of the undisputed "FACTS" is wrong.

And it happens to be the most important one.

Obama beats McCain by 1.8% while Clinton wins by .3% RCP average.

Posted by tigerbalm at 2008-04-24 10:58 AM | Reply | Flag:

For example, in the most recent USA Today national general election poll, Senator Clinton leads Senator McCain by +6; Senator Obama leads by less than the margin of error, +2.

----

Which was March 17th. Nice cherry picking.

blogs.usatoday.com

Posted by Pirate at 2008-04-24 11:03 AM | Reply | Flag:

Wait...I stand possibly corrected? But this shows Obama over Mccain by 3

www.realclearpolitics.com

Posted by Pirate at 2008-04-24 11:08 AM | Reply | Flag:

But Tiger's got the info on the RCP average which the realclearpolitics link has.

Posted by Pirate at 2008-04-24 11:10 AM | Reply | Flag:

Average.

As stated above.

Posted by tigerbalm at 2008-04-24 11:12 AM | Reply | Flag:

And exit polls in Penn showed Obama with plenty of the trailer vote.

Posted by tigerbalm at 2008-04-24 11:13 AM | Reply | Flag:

At the same time, Clinton's argument that she is more electable in the fall does not appear at this juncture to have support in national data; both she and Obama fare equally well when pitted in polling against McCain.

www.gallup.com

Posted by Pirate at 2008-04-24 11:35 AM | Reply | Flag:

nice going, Pirate, you chased Porky away!

Posted by Jomama at 2008-04-24 03:20 PM | Reply | Flag: