How will the Bradley Effect hang on him in a general election? 5 points, 10, 15, 20?
How many would it take for him to lose the GOP'er?
Your ignorance in the face of indisputable facts remains a source of puzzlement Corky.
A new SurveyUSA poll in New York finds Sen. Barack Obama gaining ground in Sen. Hillary Clinton's home state, but Clinton still leads 54% to 38%. Clinton is down 2, Obama is up 8 in the last month.
Key findings: Among men, Obama is up 16 points. Clinton leads by 37 among women resulting in a 49 point gender gap.
A new SurveyUSA poll in New Jersey finds Sen. Hillary Clinton leading Sen. Barack Obama, 51% to 39%.
Key finding: There is a 40-point gender gap in the race: Men back Obama 5:4, while women back Clinton 2:1.
politicalwire.com
Which demographic is more likely lost if Hillary gains the nomination as compared to Barack winning it? The Dems always trail with men, and Obama's showing strength there. Will Hillary's backers jump ship and vote for McCain, who's anti-choice? Don't see it happening, do you?
And with woman making this case, I don't see Hillary's numbers standing up when the votes are counted:
Why So Many Feminists Are Deciding to Vote for Barack Obama
So what's tipped so many feminists to Obama? For some, it was when the Clintons began treating him as women are treated -- patronizing him as merely a "good speaker," trivializing his accomplishments, minimizing the importance of his early judgment and risk-taking in opposing the war in Iraq, and using surrogates to demonize his morality.
For me and many others, the key attraction is Obama's vision that people need to be eager, desirous for and participants in the change we want to see (the very strength the Clintons either don't get or deliberately misstate). Barack Obama doesn't just make people feel hopeful about the possibility of change -- he inspires them to become part of that change, makes them feel it's the only way we'll get there. And in doing so, he's motivating the base, reaching independent and swing voters, and perhaps most important, inspiring young people and many undecided-whether-or-not-to-
vote voters -- people most affected by injustice who often feel their votes, and their lives, don't matter in elections where money has so much sway.
This public mobilization is precisely what Hillary failed to do with health care reform in 1992. She owns that failure but not the reason for it.
As long as money determines elections, we won't have the perfect candidate. Many of us wish the two leading candidates took stronger stands, like Edwards and Kucinich have, against the role of lobbyists and corporate greed and the continuation of poverty. As activists, we know that whoever wins will be subject to huge pressure from the Big Boys and will go only so far as organized movements of people demand that they go. It may take a president to push through a law, but it takes a movement to say, "Ignore us at your peril."
I believe Barack Obama has the best chance of helping to galvanize that movement and to stay connected with it.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/
ellen-bravo/why-so-many-
feminists-are_b_84482.html